Sagarin says

[missingnumber7]

You are mistaken. The MAC is a step up. Northern Illinois is set up for its second consecutive BCS Bowl appearance. The landscape of DI football has changed. $$$$$$$ will drive the four team playoff to eight, then eventually a 16 to a 20 team playoff. This will mean that every conference winner will be invited to the Big Dance.

IF the standard to win a national title was the standard to move up, then every BCS conference and team therein besides the SEC should move down. 8/12 teams in the Big Ten HAVE ZERO CHANCE TO EVER WIN A NATIONAL TITLE.

Where is a 1 loss team in the MAC, or better yet 2 1 loss teams in the MAC. At some stupid .com bowl no one cares about other than the 2 teams playing and their fans.

[Bisonguy]

Where is a 1 loss team in the MAC, or better yet 2 1 loss teams in the MAC. At some stupid .com bowl no one cares about other than the 2 teams playing and their fans.

Anyone have the TV ratings for the stupid.com bowls versus the FCS playoffs?





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[stevdock]

Anyone have the TV ratings for the stupid.com bowls versus the FCS playoffs?





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I'm bored so I looked it up.

Kent St. finished 2nd in the MAC and got a 1.3 for the GoDaddy bowl and played Arkansas St.

Championship game got a 0.7 rating.

A difference of about 800,000 people watching the games, which looks to be about the average difference between a night game and a day game, so in that case it's a wash since we don't control the time of the game.

[SamsRams]

And espn vs espn2 i believe.


Any sagarin gurus have sagarins lines on the 1st round games?

[thebootfitter]

And espn vs espn2 i believe.


Any sagarin gurus have sagarins lines on the 1st round games?

BisonAudit posted the probability of each team winning in post #877 (before a lot of the move to FBS talk).

[SamsRams]

BisonAudit posted the probability of each team winning in post #877 (before a lot of the move to FBS talk).

Thanks but looking for what sagarin would make the line not the probability of who will win

using the predictor and +3 for home team this is what I came up with, hopefully I am not way off
(Vegas line)
CCU 62.44 (-4)
Bethune 57.37

Fordham 58.77 (-6)
Sacred Heart 50.44

Butler 43.81
Tenn St 56.14 (-14.5)

SCSU 60.34 (-5)
Furman 51.37

SHSU 63.74 (-16)
SUU 47.80

UNH 62.96 (-16)
Lafayette 50.13

NAU 57.47 (-4)
SDSU 64.18

Jax St 60.82 (-2.5)
Samford 54.88

**looks like my last few lines are off. site I used is missing furman game and messed up the numbers after.

[gizmo]

UN_ will hold us back from going FBS.

[Hammersmith]

And espn vs espn2 i believe.


Any sagarin gurus have sagarins lines on the 1st round games?

I did it way back in post 790.

[missingnumber7]

UN_ will hold us back from going FBS.

Why would they even have a say?

[Hammersmith]

Here's the updated Sagarin numbers. No changes for NDSU and much of FCS. No surprise considering there were only 8 games played. In the top-25, Jacksonville State and Tennessee State were the big winners, while Bethune-Cookman and the Ivy League were the big losers. The Bison are a 32 point favorite vs. Furman(not counting bye week advantage).

Sagarin's Playoffs Round 2 Predictions

			       Sagarin	  Predict    Result	 Diff  
 26	North Dakota State	80.87					
 25	Kansas State		81.01	   -3.74       3.00	  6.74		
 NA	Ferris State		   NA	      NA      46.00	    NA		
225	Delaware State		34.15	   50.32      51.00	  0.68		
 79	South Dakota State	65.45	   11.82      20.00	  8.18		
 85	Northern Iowa		64.64	   19.83       1.00	-18.83		
 98	Missouri State		62.68	   21.79      15.00	 -6.79		
 96	Southern Illinois	62.91	   14.36      21.00	  6.64		
199	Indiana State		40.08	   37.19      46.00	  8.81		
123	Illinois State		58.04	   26.43      18.00	 -8.43		
113	Youngstown State	59.48	   17.79      18.00	  0.21		
164	South Dakota		48.81	   35.66      42.00	  6.34		
							
150	Furman			52.83	   31.64

158	Western Illinois	51.12					
						Total Diff:	  3.55
	Home			 3.60

Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25

 1   26  North Dakota State
 2   38  Eastern Illinois
 3   68  SE Louisiana
 4   74  Towson
 5   79  South Dakota State
 6   81  Villanova
 7   85  Northern Iowa
 8   89  William & Mary
 9   92  Montana
10   93  Eastern Washington
11   96  Southern Illinois
12   98  Missouri State
13   99  New Hampshire
14  101  Jacksonville State
15  102  Sam Houston State
16  104  McNeese State
17  106  Coastal Carolina
18  110  Maine
19  111  Tennessee State
20  112  Harvard
21  113  Youngstown State
22  115  Liberty
23  118  Princeton
24  121  Cal Poly
25  123  Illinois State

Sagarin Predictor Top-7 FCS Conferences

1.  MVFC	59.71
2.  Colonial	56.05
3.  Ohio Valley 53.58
4.  Southland	52.67
5.  Southern	48.44
6.  Ivy League	48.13
7.  Big Sky	47.15