Quote Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan View Post
100%; reason the vigs are usually higher and lines come out late. Some books also have limits on how much you can bet. (I'm low stakes so don't really ever come close.) Lakes is oui #1 expert......LOL (My favorite lakes betting story was walking into SDSU game in 2023 in Brookings and NDSU was like a +6 dog; I felt strongly very easy SDSU cover. He was all excited to bet NDSU as a dog. I made money; he did not.)

Sam Herder also had an expert on once who basically said the same you heard. Back when 5dimes was humming, they'd put out lines on Tuesday, and I made a good chunk of money hitting those early lines before they moved to reality.

As for tips, I look for Big Sky and MVFC teams playing lower FCS conference teams. Those Sagarins are always quite bit off in my experience often making the power conference team a pretty good bet paritucularly when at home and picked in upper half of their conference.

Sagarin gets way better after 4-5 weeks of play; then I move to teams who are improving/imploding.....also listen for key injuries. Lots of dogs to watch at that point for betting. Back in the glory days of the insiders, JJ was watching some no name team and said the QB went down with a brutal injury right at end of a game. Sagarin of course does not reflect and books missed it since media was next to nothing. I bet against them the next week for easy money.
"Ill gotten gain, ill gotten gain."