Sagarin says

[Tatanka]

I love this thread. Seriously.

[X-Factor]

And here we go. Four touchdown favorite going into Weber State. Closest game prediction is UNI by a TD. MVFC top three, four of top six, and six of top twelve. MVFC also a TD favorite over the next best conference.


Sagarin's Week 2 Predictions

       Sagarin  Predict    Result Diff  
 40North Dakota State76.45
 70Iowa State68.39   +4.90     +20.00+15.10
197Weber State44.78  +28.51
218Incarnate Word39.27  +40.34
103Montana62.13  +17.48
177Western Illinois49.09  +24.20
 90Southern Illinois64.87  +14.74
188Indiana State46.54  +33.07
156South Dakota53.27  +20.02
 79South Dakota State67.08  +12.53
 82Northern Iowa66.57   +6.72
133Missouri State57.30  +15.99
107Youngstown State62.25  +17.36

108Illinois State62.23
Total Diff:+15.10
Home Field 3.16

Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25

 1   40  North Dakota State
 2   79  South Dakota State
 3   82  Northern Iowa
 4   84  Eastern Washington
 5   89  New Hampshire
 6   90  Southern Illinois
 7   94  Villanova
 8   99  Jacksonville State
 9  103  SE Louisiana
10  106  McNeese State
11  107  Youngstown State
12  108  Illinois State
13  109  Chattanooga
14  110  Montana
15  116  Tennessee State
16  119  Princeton
17  121  Richmond
18  123  Eastern Illinois
19  127  William & Mary
20  128  Harvard
21  130  Montana State
22  132  Coastal Carolina
23  133  Missouri State
24  134  Sam Houston State
25  136  Central Arkansas

Sagarin Predictor Top-5 FCS Conferences

1.  MVFC60.86
2.  Colonial53.62
3.  Ohio Valley 53.22
4.  Big Sky52.26
5.  Southland50.29

I will have to say that SDSU is way overrated based on this.

[bisonaudit]

I will have to say that SDSU is way overrated based on this.

The silly computer doesn't know their QB is on the shelf for 6 - 8 weeks.

[thebootfitter]

I will have to say that SDSU is way overrated based on this.

There's not much reliability this early in the season. As more data is created from games played, it should balance itself out. If they really are that good, they'll stay high. If not, they'll drop down. You can't really read too much into these numbers until several weeks into the season.

The silly computer doesn't know their QB is on the shelf for 6 - 8 weeks.

And there's this too. Though that backup sure played well against Mizzou.

[westnodak93bison]

Its well know the data is not well connected. It'd about as accurate as a media poll.

[TransAmBison]

I love this thread. Seriously.

I need to get to know it a bit better, but I will check it out again...it has sparked my interest.

[stevdock]

I think it's very interested that we are already favored in every game for the rest of the year at this very second. Also I think at this second you could make the case that we could be favored in every game until Iowa in 2016.

[TNbison]

I think it's very interested that we are already favored in every game for the rest of the year at this very second. Also I think at this second you could make the case that we could be favored in every game until Iowa in 2016.

We're spoiled, I like it though
cart_before_horse.jpg

[Bookem]

We're spoiled, I like it though
cart_before_horse.jpg

54/55 straight wins and f!*& straight championships????? Sounds good to me!

[TNbison]

54/55 straight wins and f!*& straight championships????? Sounds good to me!

and the cart has left the horse in the dust