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Thread: Sagarin says

  1. #531
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Mayville Bison View Post
    Who in the Sun Belt played a big game to improve their conference as a whole? Usually, now it's conference games so anything but the top 5-6 start to decrease.
    I didn't know this until I looked up the results, but Sun Belt conference play hasn't started yet.

    Texas State was a 9.5 point dog to Wyoming (Mtn West) and won by 21. Improved their Sag 6.57.
    South Alabama was a 26 point dog to Tennessee (SEC) and lost by 7. Improved their Sag 4.92.

    Those were the two big drivers. There were some that went the other way and some smaller increases as well, but these were the big positive movers in the Sun Belt.
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  2. #532
    Mayville Bison is offline Senior Member Gets their mail at the West Parking Lot
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    I didn't know this until I looked up the results, but Sun Belt conference play hasn't started yet.

    Texas State was a 9.5 point dog to Wyoming (Mtn West) and won by 21. Improved their Sag 6.57.
    South Alabama was a 26 point dog to Tennessee (SEC) and lost by 7. Improved their Sag 4.92.

    Those were the two big drivers. There were some that went the other way and some smaller increases as well, but these were the big positive movers in the Sun Belt.
    Makes sense. I tried to figure it out, but kept going crazy looking at the different columns. I'll figure it out eventually

  3. #533
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Mayville Bison View Post
    Makes sense. I tried to figure it out, but kept going crazy looking at the different columns. I'll figure it out eventually
    Unless you're hanging onto the whole data set from week to week it'd be pretty tough.
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  4. #534
    Mayville Bison is offline Senior Member Gets their mail at the West Parking Lot
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    Unless you're hanging onto the whole data set from week to week it'd be pretty tough.
    Nah, I was just trying to approximate who did better using this week's data. Might have been why I was driving myself crazy

  5. #535
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by thebootfitter View Post
    I'm pretty sure you realize this already, Hammerhead, but for others, please note that our #29 ranking is based on the "rating" score, which is a synthesis of the pure points and predictor methodologies. Sagarin's predictor score is a better statistical measure for expected future performance. On that scale, we rank #40. Still pretty darn good.

    For what it's worth, Massey also has us at #29, ahead of teams like Georgia Tech, OK State, Auburn, USC, Michigan, Notre Dame, etc. Computer ratings can still be a bit skewed this early in the season, but it is fun to see the Bison ranked high in these systems. It adds some legitimacy to their on the field performances and recent recognition they've been getting on the national scene.
    40 is a realistic number.

  6. #536
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by LITTLEGUYSINGREEN View Post
    40 is a realistic number.
    I believe 40 is a bit conservative. I believe that we'll be higher in the Sagarin predictor metric by the end of the year. I look at a lot of the teams in the 25-40 range and have a hard time believing that we would lose more games than win against them.

  7. #537
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Sooooooo close to getting another top 50 win. stupid UNI has to be 51

  8. #538
    Mayville Bison is offline Senior Member Gets their mail at the West Parking Lot
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by MNLonghorn10 View Post
    Sooooooo close to getting another top 50 win. stupid UNI has to be 51



    they'll be top 50 when they run the table and get to the playoffs





    Sent from my RM-845_nam_vzw_100 using Tapatalk

  9. #539
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    My system's first rankings are out. I think everyone will be pleased with where the Bison are situated. The entire FCS is particularly strong in this first release. I don't expect them to stay high forever, as they would need more FBS wins to maintain the juice they gained in week 1. And there aren't a whole lot of those left. The Ivy league is still a stickler. They only stated playing three weeks ago, so the links with those teams are quite weak, and can cause some anomalies. The accuracy will only improve as more games are played.

    http://purecfr.com/college-football-...s-2013-week-6/
    Looking good Billy Ray!

  10. #540
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Mayville Bison View Post
    they'll be top 50 when they run the table and get to the playoffs





    Sent from my RM-845_nam_vzw_100 using Tapatalk

    Am i the only one who thinks UNI will have a tough time going forward? Remember Ytown last year?
    UNI just lost a bunch of talent to injury on an already thin defense. I think they have at least 1 more loss.

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