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Thread: Sagarin says

  1. #491
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    Hammersmith does all the work for you, just check out his predict column. NDSU is 3.88 point favorite.
    Is there a Vegas line at all for this game, or is 3.88 the number I get to use for my bet with AG?!? I am in desperate need of a win here my friends-->DES-PER-ATE!!!!!
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  2. #492
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    I got a pharmacist here at sanford to bet me Zenner would get over 100 yards. I think it is money in the bank. I reminded him "43 and 46."

  3. #493
    Mayville Bison is offline Senior Member Gets their mail at the West Parking Lot
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by CAS4127 View Post
    Is there a Vegas line at all for this game, or is 3.88 the number I get to use for my bet with AG?!? I am in desperate need of a win here my friends-->DES-PER-ATE!!!!!
    3.88 minus the 3 points for home field advantage means you should give .88 points. That's what I would go with at least

  4. #494
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Mayville Bison View Post
    3.88 minus the 3 points for home field advantage means you should give .88 points. That's what I would go with at least
    I think I will start with him giving me points then, and "negotiate" from there.
    Bisonville: Making football coaches out of arm-chair-QB's and jock sniffers for years!
    Today's CAS GASF = ZERO
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    And, don’t believe everything you think—jussayin’.

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  5. #495
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Mayville Bison View Post
    3.88 minus the 3 points for home field advantage means you should give .88 points. That's what I would go with at least



    Home field is already baked into the 3.88.
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  6. #496
    KC Bison is offline Senior Member Gets their mail at the West Parking Lot
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    So, on a neutral field, NDSU would win by 6.88 and in Fargo, the Bison would win by 9.88 points?

  7. #497
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by KC Bison View Post
    So, on a neutral field, NDSU would win by 6.88 and in Fargo, the Bison would win by 9.88 points?
    From Hammersmith's post:

    NDSU 72.97
    SDSU 63.86
    Home 5.23 (historically this number is around 3, right now on limited data it's a little out of whack)

    therefore:
    Neutral site: 72.97 - 63.86 = 9.11
    Fargodome: 9.11 + 5.23 = 14.34
    Away: 9.11 - 5.23 = 3.88
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  8. #498
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    Away: 9.11 - 5.23 = 3.88
    So, the Bison outperformed Sagarin's predictor score by 16+. That should move us up at least a little bit.

  9. #499
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan View Post
    I got a pharmacist here at sanford to bet me Zenner would get over 100 yards. I think it is money in the bank. I reminded him "43 and 46."
    So, may plan is to basically ignore the bet until he pays to be a good sport; I almost feel bad about it at this point...

  10. #500
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by thebootfitter View Post
    So, the Bison outperformed Sagarin's predictor score by 16+. That should move us up at least a little bit.
    Should have punched it in at the end for another 7

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