Sagarin says

[bisonmike2]

I'll bite...which ones are impossible, Mr. Pythagoras?

These
13-2 18.3%
12-2 21.3%
11-2 19.2%
10-2 12.4%
11-3 0.5%
10-3 0.4%
9-3 0.3%

[CAS4127]

I'll bite...which ones are impossible, Mr. Pythagoras?

Ummm, ya, ahhh. . . . gimme some more time to think about that. . . . . . . . . . .

[IzzyFlexion]

I'll bite...which ones are impossible, Mr. Pythagoras?

He was my neighbor in a past life. He and I both had our togas cleaned at Harry Parathestes Dry Cleaning, Inc.

[bisonaudit]

14-1 27.5% Hushmazilly
13-2 17.7% Finals
12-2 20.9% Semis
11-2 19.2% Quarters
10-2 12.4% 1st round

WIll loss then
13-2 0.6% Hushmazilly
12-3 0.4% Finals
11-3 0.5% Semis
10-3 0.4% Quarters
9-3 0.3% 1st round

I lumped the 12-2 and the 12-3 together earlier. User error.

[gotts]

I lumped the 12-2 and the 12-3 together earlier. User error.

How many decimal places do you have to carry out to register a digit on the 14-2 scenario?

The earlier scenarios assume a first round bye, yes?

[bisonaudit]

How many decimal places do you have to carry out to register a digit on the 14-2 scenario?

The earlier scenarios assume a first round bye, yes?

When I made the note '1st round' in the prior post I meant NDSU's first playoff game. All scenario's assume a bye as they're constructed from the Sports Network projected bracket.

My model is pretty basic. I'm simply taking the Sports Network projected bracket and today's Sagarin numbers and treating them as a static reality. I'm not attempting to reseed the playoffs in the event we'd lose to WIll or model anything the happens this weekend and its effect on the playoff bracket or the relative strengths of the teams. It's simply not that dynamic of a model. So I'm assuming that NDSU receives a 1st round bye in every instance.

Really though, even if they lost to W Ill would NDSU drop out of the top 12?

[CAS4127]

How many decimal places do you have to carry out to register a digit on the 14-2 scenario?

The earlier scenarios assume a first round bye, yes?

How would we ever have a 14-2 record this year. The most regular season wins we can have is 10, and the most PO wins we could have would be 4, assuming no bye. If we were to win the NC, we would be 14-1, if we were to make it there and lose we would be 13-2, right? Or am I missing something?!!

[bisonaudit]

How would we ever have a 14-2 record this year. The most regular season wins we can have is 10, and the most PO wins we could have would be 4, assuming no bye. If we were to win the NC, we would be 14-1, if we were to make it there and lose we would be 13-2, right? Or am I missing something?!!

It's 4 playoff games w/ a bye. 5 w/out.

[CAS4127]

It's 4 playoff games w/ a bye. 5 w/out.

Ya, ahhh, that's why I am an attorney and not an accountant or engineer or the like!!!!

[Answer Guy]

How would we ever have a 14-2 record this year. The most regular season wins we can have is 10, and the most PO wins we could have would be 4, assuming no bye. If we were to win the NC, we would be 14-1, if we were to make it there and lose we would be 13-2, right?

With a bye, it would take 4 wins for a NC. Without a bye, it would take 5 wins. Might I suggest you stick to breaking down film and leave the stats to Baudit?

Or am I missing something?!!

Is that rhetorical?