Only the SEC and B1G teams are safely in.
B12, and especially some of ACC are considered bubble teams that may not get included in a new top tier. PAC and MWC teams would be a stretch. This is why OSU/WSU had been so desperate to join a P4, and still might if given the chance. Rest of PAC is now a collection of upper tier G5.
It will mostly come down to revenue/expenses imo. They are going to require a very high yearly expenditure as the benchmark for tier 1. Is the cutoff around $75m/year or $100m+ for athletics is the question. And can PAC new media deal bring enough revenue to make that cutoff?
When this all goes down I think the resulting reorg will give us a chance to join the second tier. Somewhere between 2027 and 2030 is my guess on timeline for it to become official.
Meanwhile, Sac State going in the other direction. As an independent no less.
https://x.com/petethamel/status/1907...618980486?s=46
I don't care what Jim says. That is not the real Ben Franklin. I'm 99% certain.
I am interested to see how their schedule comes about. Both the Pac and the MW are in the neighborhood but their occ games are already scheduled out for a few years. It will be very tough to get FBS games during conference season. It could work with the Pac if they have a an 8 football school model. Maybe they would add Sac as a football only school to get an 8 game conference schedule. Or at least a scheduling agreement of some kind.
Nevada is playing them this upcoming season in a non conference matchup.
Here's Thamel's article.
https://www.espn.com/college-footbal...bs-independent
North Dakota State, a football team the big boys of college football should avoid like the plague, helped christen a $90 million renovation to Snyder Family Stadium including a statue of famed Kansas State coach Bill Snyder himself by taking a sledgehammer to the place.Bob Lutz, The Wichita Eagle, August 30th, 2013
Does it really matter when a school decides to bolt if you suck at the level you're at (FCS) or go out on top of your division (e.g. NDSU)? At least they're making a move and, apparently, have the leadership in place (the administration) to attempt to make it work. To this, I give Sac State credit.
North Dakota State, a football team the big boys of college football should avoid like the plague, helped christen a $90 million renovation to Snyder Family Stadium including a statue of famed Kansas State coach Bill Snyder himself by taking a sledgehammer to the place.Bob Lutz, The Wichita Eagle, August 30th, 2013