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It didn't happen last year despite the committee facing a 6-win Montana. That says a lot about the integrity of the selection committee and is a little reassuring that they're willing to adhere to the 7-win guideline.Quote:
Originally Posted by X-Factor
Hopefully the committee sticks to this precedent.Quote:
Originally Posted by DjKyRo
????? Am i missing something? The playoffs were expanded last year, they are not this year... The 2011 playoff field is 20 teams, just like the 2010 playoff field was...?Quote:
Originally Posted by X-Factor
Other than missing your left testicle, you are not missing a thing. YES, You are correct sir.Quote:
Originally Posted by Twentysix
That is not as reassuring as it should be. I wonder where my left testicle is off to?Quote:
Originally Posted by CarringtonBison
Sagarin is now well-connected and unbiased, so it no longer uses weighted info. I don't know if it was this week's events or the switch from bayesian to unbiased, but there were some real movements from week 6 to week 7. The Gophers continue their free fall and are now considered a mid-pack MVFC squad as well as being 24 spots below the nearest BCS team(Indiana). Lafayette moved up a bunch of spots thanks to their win over Yale. SIU's back to back losses dropped them 20 spots, while ISUb moved up 28 spots probably because of the switch away from bayesian. UNI and NDSU are now virtually tied for the top spot in FCS, with GSU & Furman nipping at our heels at 73 & 74(Air Force is between us at 72).
On the conference front, this week saw a tightening of the race. The SoCon dropped over a point, while the MVFC gained most of one. It's now SoCon, CAA, MVFC, BSC. (I still don't count GW as anything more than a statistical anomaly.)
Week 7
Week 6Code:rate predict actual diff
70 Northern Iowa 68.22 + 2.97
71 North Dakota State 68.11
120 Illinois State 57.00 +14.19 +10.00 -4.19
131 Indiana State 55.29 + 9.74
142 Minnesota 53.13 +11.90 +13.00 +2.10
135 Youngstown State 54.91 +16.28
165 Southern Illinois 48.34 +16.69 + 6.00 -10.69
171 South Dakota State 46.04 +18.99
181 Lafayette 43.70 +27.49 +36.00 +8.51
182 Western Illinois 43.46 +21.57
184 Missouri State 43.13 +28.06 +30.00 +1.94
240 Saint Francis-Pa 20.58 +50.61 +53.00 +2.39
Code:rate predict actual diff
75 Northern Iowa 67.00 + 1.44
78 Wofford 66.35
82 North Dakota State 65.36
130 Minnesota 55.42 + 6.86 +13.00 +6.14
145 Southern Illinois 52.56 + 9.72 + 6.00 -3.72
148 Illinois State 52.36 +16.08 +10.00 -6.08
152 Youngstown State 52.10 +16.34
159 Indiana State 50.77 +11.51
169 South Dakota State 48.36 +13.92
177 Western Illinois 46.38 +15.90
183 Missouri State 44.66 +23.78
194 Lafayette 41.68 +26.76 +36.00 +9.24
242 Saint Francis-Pa 22.33 +46.11 +53.00 +6.89
Conference
Code:Week 7
1. GWC 55.49
2. SoCn 54.94
3. CAA 54.12
4. MVFC 53.31
5. BSC 53.24
Week 6
1. SoCn 56.07
2. GWC 55.90
3. CAA 54.71
4. BSC 54.39
5. MVFC 52.44
GWC is the #1 ranked conference :rofl:
Didn't Ill St. handly beat their "#1 team" in USD?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Strommer10
Play lower division teams=inflate ratings.Quote:
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 246 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
NDSU's SOS was better with the Kansas win and Montana also did not have an exclusively DI schedule which is another one of the guildelines. If NDSU would have lost at Kansas, there would have been a 6 DI win team most likely hosting a first round playoff game. I'd much rather have a 6 DI win SoCon, CAA, MVFC, or even Big Sky team than a 7 DI win Pioneer team.Quote:
Originally Posted by DjKyRo
Just looked and the numbers appear to have shifted... I see Wofford (48) and GSU (46) ahead of NDSU (63) and UNI (66).Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammersmith
Also the conference rankings appear to have shifted as well.
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 BIG 12 (A) = 82.78 82.75 ( 1) 10 82.81 ( 1)
2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.48 80.94 ( 2) 12 80.42 ( 2)
3 BIG TEN (A) = 75.43 74.76 ( 3) 12 75.02 ( 3)
4 PAC-12 (A) = 74.47 74.60 ( 4) 12 74.51 ( 4)
5 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 73.35 73.39 ( 5) 12 73.33 ( 5)
6 BIG EAST (A) = 72.05 72.34 ( 6) 8 72.24 ( 6)
7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 69.00 69.00 ( 7) 4 69.00 ( 7)
8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 65.18 65.90 ( 8) 8 65.00 ( 8)
9 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 63.98 63.25 ( 9) 12 63.82 ( 9)
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 62.80 62.77 ( 10) 8 62.73 ( 10)
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.45 61.71 ( 11) 13 61.63 ( 11)
12 SOUTHERN (AA)= 58.88 58.75 ( 12) 9 58.96 ( 12)
13 SUN BELT (A) = 57.31 57.33 ( 13) 9 57.40 ( 13)
14 COLONIAL (AA)= 57.06 56.60 ( 14) 11 56.72 ( 14)
15 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.86 55.04 ( 15) 5 55.04 ( 15)
16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 54.54 54.98 ( 16) 9 54.86 ( 16)
17 BIG SKY (AA)= 52.19 50.91 ( 17) 9 51.53 ( 17)
18 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 47.13 47.39 ( 18) 7 47.38 ( 18)
19 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 46.01 45.41 ( 20) 9 45.50 ( 20)
20 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 45.37 45.91 ( 19) 8 45.54 ( 19)
21 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 44.00 43.76 ( 21) 4 43.83 ( 21)
22 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 43.57 43.65 ( 22) 8 43.63 ( 22)
23 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 39.46 39.92 ( 23) 7 39.69 ( 23)
24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.16 38.11 ( 25) 11 38.72 ( 24)
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 38.70 38.19 ( 24) 9 38.32 ( 25)
26 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 35.32 35.38 ( 26) 10 35.39 ( 26)
27 PIONEER (AA)= 34.61 32.94 ( 27) 10 34.00 ( 27)
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1 -90.00 ( 28)