No reason to do that. The game was over. Although I thought Lang was going in after he got the ball for the last offensive play.Quote:
Originally Posted by westnodak93bison
Should have gotten more points in the first half though.
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No reason to do that. The game was over. Although I thought Lang was going in after he got the ball for the last offensive play.Quote:
Originally Posted by westnodak93bison
Should have gotten more points in the first half though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan
wait. Were you specific? Did you make the bet for just the one game or for the past three?
I'm working on the full write up, but I was seriously surprised when I saw them. For those that don't know, there are three different Sagarin ratings. ELO-chess is the rating that goes to the BCS for their system. Pure-points is the most accurate according to Sagarin and the one I use. Synthesis is a hybrid of the two and the one USA Today uses(as well as the layman when they refer to Sagarin numbers).
As of this morning, NDSU is 26th in the ELO-chess rating. It's the least accurate of the three ratings, but it's the one that helps create the BCS ranking.
Northern Iowa is the #2 FCS team. Possible to get another boost next week.Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammersmith
Also, thanks to us, K State has a loss to the top 30.
It feels like this was the week where last year's results stopped being factored in. Sagarin used to include a line about the results being either well-connected or not, but that line has been missing this year. By the way things jumped around this week, I think the transition just happened.
Other than NDSU moving ahead of Kansas State(40 vs. 42), there's not all that much to say. The MVFC is slipping but still #1. The Big Sky and SoCon continue their fall. The Big Sky has 6 teams in the top-25, but the bottom of the conference is really dragging them down. Illinois State and Indiana State drop out of the top-25. UNI has now become our toughest FCS game after SDSU dropped a ton.
Sagarin's Week 6 Predictions:
Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25Code:Sagarin Predict Result Diff
40 North Dakota State 76.91
42 Kansas State 76.63 -3.96 3.00 6.96
NA Ferris State NA NA 46.00 NA
225 Delaware State 34.60 46.55 51.00 4.45
131 South Dakota State 58.09 14.58 20.00 5.42
60 Northern Iowa 72.53 8.62
142 Missouri State 55.43 25.72
110 Southern Illinois 60.28 12.39
152 Indiana State 52.72 19.95
187 Illinois State 46.50 34.65
111 Youngstown State 60.21 12.46
185 South Dakota 46.90 34.25
163 Western Illinois 50.75
Total Diff: 16.83
Home 4.24
Sagarin Predictor Top-5 FCS ConferencesCode:1 40 North Dakota State
2 60 Northern Iowa
3 66 Eastern Illinois
4 75 Towson
5 82 Villanova
6 88 Eastern Washington
7 89 Montana
8 95 McNeese State
9 98 Montana State
10 99 Georgia Southern
11 101 William & Mary
12 103 Old Dominion
13 104 Sam Houston State
14 107 Portland State
15 108 Maine
16 109 SE Louisiana
17 110 Southern Illinois
18 111 Youngstown State
19 112 Chattanooga
20 113 Central Arkansas
21 117 Cal Poly
22 125 Richmond
23 130 Harvard
24 131 South Dakota State
25 132 Northern Arizona
Code:1. MVFC 57.16
2. Colonial 56.04
3. Southland 54.14
4. Big Sky 53.74
5. Southern 50.20
I need a schooling on how to read these.
Top box: Number on far left is the predictor ranking including all 330+ DI teams. The Sagarin column is the actual predictor ranking. The predict column is what the Sagarin numbers predict the outcome of the game to be including home field advantage. The result column is what the actual score differential was. The diff column is how far off the Sagaring prediction was from the actual result. Toward the bottom is what the current home field advantage is, and the sum of the diff column.Quote:
Originally Posted by A1pigskin
Take the KState line. Currently, KSU is ranked 42nd of all DI teams. Their score is 76.63. Home field advantage is 4.24. NDSU is ranked 40th with a score of 76.91. Since the game was at their place, the Sagarin prediction for NDSU was 76.91 - 76.63 - 4.24 = -3.96. IOW, Sagarin predicted us to lose by just under 4 points. Since we won by 3 points, we outperformed the prediction by 6.96.
Now, these numbers change every week, so we are currently predicted to win by about 9 points but that will change when I put up a new post next Sunday. The only reason I keep some of these numbers is to show whether the team is outperforming expectations or underperforming.
Now its bisonaudit's turn to explain deviation.
Well, I watched the premier of Showtime's "Masters of Sex" on the Audience network last night, but, somehow, I don't think that's what you meant.Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammersmith
Were the participants not wearing socks? Not wash their hands afterwards?
It was the '50's.Quote:
Originally Posted by NDB2