Does Vegas run line on the FCS playoffs or only online books? I will happen to be in Vegas.....Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
Printable View
Does Vegas run line on the FCS playoffs or only online books? I will happen to be in Vegas.....Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
FCS championship game only. Sister asked last time in Vegas about a month ago.Quote:
Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan
Darn, figured I'd be placing bets for everyone.....Quote:
Originally Posted by Bisonfan1
Thats interesting that SDSU would be so high considering they would probably be on the road for the entire playoffs or did you not factor that in since its just an assumption SDSU wouldnt bid high enough for the game. Also how much of a bump is there for a team coming off a bye?? I personally think this weeks game would be tougher than next weeksQuote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
betus.comQuote:
Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan
5dimes.eu
we can do it ourselves right now
Line yet? (My wife made me give up offshore stuff after the Full Tilt debacle......)Quote:
Originally Posted by dragonsfan
Highly considered by Sagarin, who isn't the committee and doesn't necessarily have the same motivations as the committee. I don't mean the motivation comment to cast a negative light on the selection committee. Part of their job is to reward performance on the field, which is different than Sagarin who's motivation is the prediction of future contests.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevdock
The model assigns every team a "seed" based on their placement in the bracket. So as the home team for the play in game in the #1 seed's quarter of the draw, SDSU gets treated like a 16 seed in my projection. As a result the projection assumes that SDSU would be the road team in all circumstances except a semi-final v. Coastal Carolina. To be clear these assumptions are relevant to my projected percentage chances of advancing in the tournament, but they are not relevant to Sagarin's assessment of the quality of each individual team, which was what I was referencing when I said Sagarin made SDSU the 3rd best team in the field and implied that if they defeated us they'd very likely jump over SHSU when Sagarin is published again next Sunday.
Bye week advantage: I've set it equal to the home field advantage in my projections. Research on NFL games suggests that the two numbers are quite close.
this week v. next: Sagarin agrees with you completely and utterly even with the extra 3 points for the bye week, NDSU is 87.1% to win or -15.5 per Sagarin, if that's the way you roll. Should NDSU win, the current assessment of potential quarterfinal matchups looks like this:
v. Wofford 92.9% or -20
v. New Hampshire 96.6% or -25
Team. Quarters. Semis. Final
NDSU -------- 92.9% 84.0% 64.2%
Wofford ------ 7.1% 2.5% 0.8%
GSU --------- 54.9% 9.0% 3.9%
ODU --------- 45.1% 4.5% 1.4%
Mont. St. ----- 39.2% 22.2% 5.4%
SHSU --------- 60.8% 45.1% 18.3%
Ill. St. -------- 35.3% 7.0% 1.1%
EWU ---------- 64.7% 25.7% 4.9%
So you're saying there's a chance...Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
I like what I see.Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit