The highest attended non-NDSU playoff game last year during the quarters and semi's was around 4000 people. Like it or not that is a death sentence for non-regionalization of playoff games.
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The highest attended non-NDSU playoff game last year during the quarters and semi's was around 4000 people. Like it or not that is a death sentence for non-regionalization of playoff games.
As of 2010, the NCAA provided transportation for 130 people. http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/...llHandbook.pdfQuote:
Originally Posted by thebootfitter
Qtrs...Quote:
Originally Posted by NDSU92
Towson at Eastern Illinois - 3,850
Jacksonville at E. Washington - 4,277
UNH at SE Louisiana - 5,586
Semi's
Towson at E. Washington - 6,209
Well, the good news is that this has to basically guarantee NDSU a #1 or #2 seed since the argument for it is clear, plus the NCAA actually makes money on it.Quote:
Originally Posted by missingnumber7
Based on Sagarin's RATING numbers (3.15 home field) and a 2.61 pt kicker for coming off a bye week, here's the outlook for the remainder of the regular season:
Youngstown State 93.5% (+2.8% from last week)
11-1 93.5% (+15.0% from last week)
10-2 6.5% (-13.8%)
Sports Network Playoff Bracket: (I may look at some of the others in the Bracketology thread later in the week if time permits)
I assumed that the higher Sagarin rating will host the first round. Here's a peak at the most likely champions:
53.9% North Dakota State
8.2% Jacksonville State
7.9% Northern Iowa
7.9% Illinois State
7.1% New Hampshire
7.0% Coastal Carolina
Assumes a normal distribution of outcomes w/ Sagarin's projected spread as the mean and a standard deviation of 13.86. In round numbers this means that if the spread is 14 the model predicts that roughly 2/3 of the outcomes will be between a tie and a 28 point victory. Half of the remaining outcomes or about 1/6 of all the outcomes would be a victory by more than 28 and there would be roughly a 1 in 6 chance that the team favored by 14 would lose.
Sagarin's Week 13 Predictions
Sagarin FCS Top-25Code:
Rank Team Sagarin Predict Result Diff
37 North Dakota State 77.91
83 Iowa State 65.76 +9.00 +20.00 +11.00
199 Weber State 42.61 +32.15 +17.00 -15.15
232 Incarnate Word 30.46 +50.60 +58.00 +7.40
118 Montana 57.85 +23.21 +12.00 -11.21
124 Western Illinois 57.02 +17.74 +7.00 -10.74
109 Southern Illinois 60.18 +20.88 +28.00 +7.12
105 Indiana State 60.74 +20.32 +17.00 -3.32
175 South Dakota 47.39 +27.37 +40.00 +12.63
69 South Dakota State 68.30 +12.76 +20.00 +7.24
60 Northern Iowa 70.89 +3.87 -20.00 -23.87
120 Missouri State 57.51 +17.25 +35.00 +17.75
112 Youngstown State 59.71 +21.35 +24.00 +2.65
64 Illinois State 69.88
Total Diff: +1.50
Home Field 3.15
Sagarin Conference RankingCode:
Rank SagRank RATING Team SOS SOSRank Conference
1 37 77.91 North Dakota State 57.32 129 Missouri Valley
2 60 70.89 Northern Iowa 60.19 110 Missouri Valley
3 64 69.88 Illinois State 54.81 142 Missouri Valley
4 65 69.44 Jacksonville State 51.02 162 Ohio Valley
5 69 68.30 South Dakota State 61.61 100 Missouri Valley
6 82 65.77 New Hampshire 47.44 190 Colonial
7 85 65.17 Chattanooga 50.20 170 Southern
8 90 63.90 Eastern Washington 50.55 166 Big Sky
9 92 63.70 Coastal Carolina 45.37 201 Big South
10 93 63.66 Villanova 48.48 182 Colonial
11 96 63.20 SE Louisiana 45.80 199 Southland
12 99 62.90 Harvard 40.46 227 Ivy League
13 101 61.34 Sam Houston State 50.44 169 Southland
14 105 60.74 Indiana State 62.32 94 Missouri Valley
15 109 60.18 Southern Illinois 61.04 107 Missouri Valley
16 111 59.82 Liberty 52.68 154 Big South
17 112 59.71 Youngstown State 56.60 134 Missouri Valley
18 113 58.97 Samford 55.42 140 Southern
19 114 58.69 Fordham 41.34 220 Patriot
20 116 57.93 Richmond 50.46 168 Colonial
21 118 57.85 Montana 50.66 164 Big Sky
22 120 57.51 Missouri State 62.47 93 Missouri Valley
23 124 57.02 Western Illinois 63.43 88 Missouri Valley
24 127 56.57 Idaho State 52.85 153 Big Sky
25 129 56.42 James Madison 49.30 177 Colonial
Code:
ConfCat Conference CentralMean ConfMax NDSU Rank
P5 SEC 85.97 97.19 13
P5 BIG 12 79.51 93.07 7
P5 PAC-12 78.23 92.95 8
P5 BIG TEN 74.52 89.13 5
P5 ACC 74.26 86.24 6
NA I-A INDEPENDENTS 69.16 80.71 2
G5 MWC 63.55 76.87 1
G5 AMERICAN ATHLETIC 63.19 74.53 1
FCS MISSOURI VALLEY 62.66 77.91 1
G5 CONFERENCE USA 59.77 79.27 2
G5 MAC 57.17 67.13 1
G5 SUN BELT 55.76 66.42 1
FCS BIG SOUTH 50.39 63.70 1
FCS COLONIAL 49.52 65.77 1
FCS SOUTHLAND 49.00 63.20 1
FCS SOUTHERN 48.61 65.17 1
FCS OHIO VALLEY 48.13 69.44 1
FCS BIG SKY 47.93 63.90 1
FCS PATRIOT 44.14 58.69 1
FCS I-AA INDEPENDENTS 43.94 43.94 1
FCS NORTHEAST 42.64 50.42 1
FCS IVY LEAGUE 42.47 62.90 1
FCS MID-EASTERN 36.84 48.90 1
FCS SWAC 32.01 48.40 1
FCS PIONEER 27.17 44.70 1
Thought the strength of yesterday's win might move us more than just one spot. Seems like we should be around #30 after the post-UNI wins.
Sagarin thought it was a 20.5 point game and we won by 24. Those 3.5 points are 1/12 of the input, not going to move the rating much.Quote:
Originally Posted by SoCalBison
I don't know about anyone else, but I'm excited to see bisonaudit's analysis of the playoff field with our chances to win each round. I'm like a kid at Christmas waiting in anticipation to open up the gifts under the tree.
(hint, hint)
;-)
Quote:
Originally Posted by thebootfitter
Efforting.