Check Hammersmith's post 1352 for Sagarin's conference weighting methodology. I haven't punched the numbers, but MVFC without NDSU probably wouldn't change a lot.Quote:
Originally Posted by Strongman
Printable View
Check Hammersmith's post 1352 for Sagarin's conference weighting methodology. I haven't punched the numbers, but MVFC without NDSU probably wouldn't change a lot.Quote:
Originally Posted by Strongman
The answer to all your questions is almost nothing at all. Since NDSU is the top team of the MVFC and would be the top team of every G5 conference, we have very little impact. And the larger the conference, the smaller the impact.Quote:
Originally Posted by Strongman
MVFC: 1/30 of the conference rating
AAC: 1/36
SBC: 1/36
MWC: 1/42
C-USA: 1/49
MAC: 1/49
For instance, the 13-team MAC w/o NDSU is 57.36. A 13-team MAC with the top team replaced w/ NDSU is 57.57. A 14-team MAC w/ NDSU is 58.34.
Since the next conference above the MAC is C-USA at 60.19, you can see that even the best case doesn't make that much of a difference. And even most of the jump in the last number isn't actually coming directly from NDSU. It's really coming from NDSU bumping the top half MAC teams down into slots that are worth more, and bumping the bottom half MAC teams into slots that count less.
Ahhhh, but I think the harder question to answer is what boost conference teams get from playing the bison and playing teams that play the bison... I agree with you on your conference weighting however I'm pretty sure even the middle teams get a boost from the bison on their schedule, don't they? :)
Sent from somewhere using my Windows Phone.
Only if they play well. SOS is more of an output than in input.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tatanka
I suddenly feel blissful for some reason.
An impressive jump from 34 last week to 28 this week for the Bison. Bison are one of just two teams with 9-0 records--Coastal Carolina (#85) is the other. Just three teams have 8-0 records: Mississippi State (5), Florida State (13) and Marshall (36).
Let the analysis begin!
Sounds like we must go FBS!Quote:
Originally Posted by SoCalBison
You forgot the purple!Quote:
Originally Posted by westnodak93bison
Not really.
Where would they go? The MAC?
Probably my last one of these. Someone else can take over if they want. Over the last few months, coming to BV has become more like a chore to me than something I actually enjoy. So I think I'm going to walk away for awhile. Maybe a few weeks, maybe more. I left ss for the same reason after the missing NDSU student incident. I wasn't going to say anything, but I realized a few people might be expecting the weekly sagarin update and it would be rude to disappear without saying anything. So someone else can pick this up if they want; it's not exactly rocket science. Takes about a half hour each Sunday morning to do the whole thing.
Sagarin's Week 11 Predictions
Sagarin FCS Top-25Code:Sagarin Predict Result Diff
28 North Dakota State 79.93
61 Iowa State 70.06 +6.70 +20.00 +13.30
210 Weber State 39.80 +36.96 +17.00 -19.96
234 Incarnate Word 28.92 +54.18 +58.00 +3.82
131 Montana 56.30 +26.80 +12.00 -14.80
145 Western Illinois 53.90 +22.86 +7.00 -15.86
106 Southern Illinois 61.58 +21.52 +28.00 +6.48
98 Indiana State 62.53 +20.57 +17.00 -3.57
171 South Dakota 49.03 +27.73 +40.00 +12.27
87 South Dakota State 65.01 +18.09 +20.00 +1.91
77 Northern Iowa 67.22 +9.54
115 Missouri State 60.04 +16.72
110 Youngstown State 61.11 +21.99
62 Illinois State 69.94
Total Diff: -16.41
Home Field 3.17
Sagarin Top-5 FCS ConferencesCode:1 28 North Dakota State
2 62 Illinois State
3 66 Jacksonville State
4 73 New Hampshire
5 77 Northern Iowa
6 82 Villanova
7 85 Coastal Carolina
8 87 South Dakota State
9 88 Harvard
10 89 Chattanooga
11 94 Richmond
12 96 Eastern Washington
13 97 Liberty
14 98 Indiana State
15 110 Youngstown State
16 108 SE Louisiana
17 115 Missouri State
18 101 Sam Houston State
19 100 McNeese State
20 106 Southern Illinois
21 113 Fordham
22 120 Samford
23 121 Idaho State
24 122 Eastern Illinois
25 127 Eastern Kentucky
Code:1. MVFC 62.76
2. Colonial 50.27
3. Southern 49.62
4. Big South 49.88
5. Southland 49.14
FBS Comparisons
Non-P5 Top 10 ConferencesCode:#1 in the AAC, C-USA, MAC, MWC, & Sun Belt
#4 in the ACC
#5 in the Big Ten
#6 in the Big 12
#7 in the PAC-12
#9 in the SEC
Code:1. AAC 64.20
2. MWC 63.54
3. MVFC 62.76
4. C-USA 59.37
5. MAC 57.32
6. SBC 56.29
7. CAA 50.27
8. SoCon 49.62
9. Big South 49.88
10. SLC 49.14