Sagarin says

[Da_Bison]

23 North Dakota State...AA = 82.24 13 0 56.88( 138) 0 0 | 1 0 | 83.00 21 | 81.30 24 | 80.98 26
61 Towson...................AA = 71.88 12 2 56.07( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.50 53 | 70.14 66 | 78.17 35
74 Eastern Washington..AA = 66.19 12 2 54.34( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.06 79 | 66.11 77 | 67.37 79
75 New Hampshire........AA = 66.13 10 4 56.96( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.54 77 | 65.53 79 | 65.06 85

[Hammersmith]

Sag got the new numbers up yet tonight. Bison crack the top-25 again in predictor. Predicting an almost 20pt win vs. UNH. EWU/Towson is a tossup.

Sagarin's Playoffs Round 4 Predictions

			       Sagarin	  Predict    Result	 Diff  
 24	North Dakota State	81.30					
 26	Kansas State		80.88	   -3.02       3.00	  6.02		
 NA	Ferris State		   NA	      NA      46.00	    NA		
225	Delaware State		34.65	   50.09      51.00	  0.91		
 93	South Dakota State	63.08	   14.78      20.00	  5.22		
 87	Northern Iowa		63.87	   20.87       1.00	-19.87		
101	Missouri State		61.97	   22.77      15.00	 -7.77		
 98	Southern Illinois	62.33	   15.53      21.00	  5.47		
200	Indiana State		39.63	   38.23      46.00	  7.77		
123	Illinois State		57.61	   27.13      18.00	 -9.13		
116	Youngstown State	59.23	   18.63      18.00	 -0.63		
166	South Dakota		48.24	   36.50      42.00	  5.50		
							
151	Furman			52.59	   32.15      31.00	  1.15		
104	Coastal Carolina	61.29	   23.45      34.00	 10.55		
 66	New Hampshire		65.53	   19.21				
							
160	Western Illinois	50.56					
						Total Diff:	  5.19
	Home			 3.44

Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25

 1   24  North Dakota State
 2   37  Eastern Illinois
 3   66  Towson
 4   74  Villanova
 5   76  SE Louisiana
 6   77  Eastern Washington
 7   79  New Hampshire
 8   85  William & Mary
 9   87  Northern Iowa
10   91  Jacksonville State
11   93  South Dakota State
12   98  Southern Illinois
13   99  Montana
14  101  Missouri State
15  102  Sam Houston State
16  104  Coastal Carolina
17  110  Harvard
18  112  Princeton
19  114  Liberty
20  116  Youngstown State
21  118  Maine
22  119  Cal Poly
23  122  Tennessee State
24  123  Illinois State
25  124  McNeese State

Sagarin Predictor Top-7 FCS Conferences

1.  MVFC	59.06
2.  Colonial	57.39
3.  Ohio Valley 53.22
4.  Southland	51.09
5.  Ivy League	49.07
6.  Southern	48.34
7.  Big Sky	47.13

[Hammersmith]

Sagarin only hit 50% this round, however 75% were within 14 points of the prediction


Round 3 results

1 NDSU/Coastal			4 SELA/UNH
Sagarin: NDSU by 22		Sagarin: SELA by 7
Actual: NDSU by 34		Actual: UNH by 3
				
2 EIU/7 Towson			3 EWU/Jax St
Sagarin: EIU by 16		Sagarin: EWU by 5
Actual: Towson by 10		Actual: EWU by 11

Round 4 predictions

1 NDSU		81.30  (19.21)
  UNH		65.53
		
3 EWU		66.11  
7 Towson	70.14  (0.59)

[Tatanka]

Lol@BigFluffySky

Sag got the new numbers up yet tonight. Bison crack the top-25 again in predictor. Predicting an almost 20pt win vs. UNH. EWU/Towson is a tossup.

Sagarin's Playoffs Round 4 Predictions

       Sagarin  Predict    Result Diff  
 24North Dakota State81.30
 26Kansas State80.88   -3.02       3.00  6.02
 NAFerris State   NA      NA      46.00    NA
225Delaware State34.65   50.09      51.00  0.91
 93South Dakota State63.08   14.78      20.00  5.22
 87Northern Iowa63.87   20.87       1.00-19.87
101Missouri State61.97   22.77      15.00 -7.77
 98Southern Illinois62.33   15.53      21.00  5.47
200Indiana State39.63   38.23      46.00  7.77
123Illinois State57.61   27.13      18.00 -9.13
116Youngstown State59.23   18.63      18.00 -0.63
166South Dakota48.24   36.50      42.00  5.50

151Furman52.59   32.15      31.00  1.15
104Coastal Carolina61.29   23.45      34.00 10.55
 66New Hampshire65.53   19.21

160Western Illinois50.56
Total Diff:  5.19
Home 3.44

Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25

 1   24  North Dakota State
 2   37  Eastern Illinois
 3   66  Towson
 4   74  Villanova
 5   76  SE Louisiana
 6   77  Eastern Washington
 7   79  New Hampshire
 8   85  William & Mary
 9   87  Northern Iowa
10   91  Jacksonville State
11   93  South Dakota State
12   98  Southern Illinois
13   99  Montana
14  101  Missouri State
15  102  Sam Houston State
16  104  Coastal Carolina
17  110  Harvard
18  112  Princeton
19  114  Liberty
20  116  Youngstown State
21  118  Maine
22  119  Cal Poly
23  122  Tennessee State
24  123  Illinois State
25  124  McNeese State

Sagarin Predictor Top-7 FCS Conferences

1.  MVFC59.06
2.  Colonial57.39
3.  Ohio Valley 53.22
4.  Southland51.09
5.  Ivy League49.07
6.  Southern48.34
7.  Big Sky47.13

Sent from somewhere using my Windows phone.

[gumby013]

Mine is kicking out similar numbers.

Bison 91.33% of the time at the dome vs UNH.

EWU 53.90% of the time at home vs Towson. Towson would be a slight favorite in Maryland, or on a neutral site, as they are ranked above EWU.

[bisonaudit]

Is UNH the first team since they expanded to 20+ to advance to the semis from round 1?

[NDSUstudent]

Is UNH the first team since they expanded to 20+ to advance to the semis from round 1?

GSU did it in 2010

[stevdock]

No for sure Georgia Southern did in 2010.

[Mayville Bison]

Sagarin also predicted a big win by EIU last week. It will be interesting to see if New Hampshire is really that good or if EIU was that overrated. I'm thinking it's the latter choice.

Think you mean Towson instead of UNH. We will see if EWU is for real if they can stop West this week. I want to see EWU for three reasons. 1-I think these seniors want to finish off with the team that knocked them out in '10. 2-I really want this team to beat down a Big Sky team at some point this year! 3-I think it would be an easier game for us than Towson would be.

I think you're right thinking EIU was more overrated. Towson is good, but they weren't anything special (sorry hearing it so much from our opponents lately that it's stuck in my head). They played consistent ball and made stops when they needed to.

[WYOBISONMAN]

I hope EWU beat the odds and shows up in Frisco. It will be a beat down when the Bison get a hold of the Eagles. We will show no mercy.