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Thread: Sagarin says

  1. 11-25-2013, 07:36 PM #801
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    EIU would be 73.1% to make the championship and NDSU 85.1%. Same matchup 62 times in 100.

    By this measure Sagarin thinks that the bottom half of the draw is marginally easier than the top half. I'd speculate the primary driver of that would be avoiding SE Louisiana. Sagarin likes them more than EWU. 4 1/2 points on a neutral field.
    How about what is EIU's chance for the different records like you showed for NDSU?
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  2. 11-25-2013, 07:44 PM #802
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan View Post
    How about what is EIU's chance for the different records like you showed for NDSU?
    15-1 33.5%
    14-2 42.0%
    13-2 8.4%
    12-2 14.2%
    11-2 2.0%

    Sagarin likes their likely quarter final opponent Towson more than their likely semi-final competition EWU, or McNeese.
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  3. 11-25-2013, 07:48 PM #803
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Isn't it like 13 straight years the OVC hasn't won a playoff game or something ridiculous? I'd laugh if EIU laid an egg in their first game again lol
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    Quote Originally Posted by RowdyRabbit View Post
    I'm tired of seeing the old Belushi clip from Animal House..."over? it's not over..." in the waning seconds of another loss to NDSU.
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  4. 11-25-2013, 07:49 PM #804
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    15-1 33.5%
    14-2 42.0%
    13-2 8.4%
    12-2 14.2%
    11-2 2.0%
    Damn, that is serious computer love, right there. I am officially scared of these guys, bad conference or not.
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  5. 11-25-2013, 07:56 PM #805
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan View Post
    Damn, that is serious computer love, right there. I am officially scared of these guys, bad conference or not.
    There's a bigger gap between EIU who's Sagarin's #2 and his #3 SE Louisiana (7.90) than there is between #23 Southern Utah and #24 Butler (6.99).
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie
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  6. 11-25-2013, 08:08 PM #806
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    I thought that we learned long ago to not trust computers so much!

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  7. 11-25-2013, 08:30 PM #807
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by cbline View Post
    I thought that we learned long ago to not trust computers so much!

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    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie
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  8. 11-25-2013, 09:16 PM #808
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Briefly looking over numbers earlier... did I see NAU in the bottom 1/3rd of playoff teams based on Predictor?
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  9. 11-25-2013, 09:44 PM #809
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by gotts View Post
    Briefly looking over numbers earlier... did I see NAU in the bottom 1/3rd of playoff teams based on Predictor?
    19th of 24. Though there's a pretty substantial gap down to 20 (3.10 points).
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    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie
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  10. 11-25-2013, 09:45 PM #810
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Team Round 1
    #1 North Dakota St. 80.74
    #2 Eastern Illinois 76.68
    #4 SE Louisiana 68.78
    #7 Towson 66.67
    #8 Montana 64.50
    #3 E. Washington 64.22
    South Dakota State 64.18
    #6 McNeese State 61.14
    Sam Houston State 60.74
    #5 Maine 60.14
    New Hampshire 59.96
    Coastal Carolina 59.44
    Jacksonville State 57.82
    Bethune-Cookman 57.37
    SC State 57.34
    Tennessee State 56.14
    Fordham 55.77
    Samford 54.88
    Northern Arizona 54.47
    Furman 51.37
    Sacred Heart 50.44
    Lafayette 50.13
    Southern Utah 47.80
    Butler 40.81
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie
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