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Thread: Sagarin says

  1. #311
    perthbison's Avatar
    perthbison is offline Senior Member Gets their mail at the West Parking Lot
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Tatanka View Post
    A perfect example is UNI. They are ranked highly despite being 0-4 (central state doesn't count).
    Just had to mention that I beleive UNI is a talanted team, despite their unlikable coach, and probably among the 10 best in the FCS. Please don't neg rep me for saying that cause it does hurt a little to say it.

  2. #312
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by perthbison View Post
    Just had to mention that I beleive UNI is a talanted team, despite their unlikable coach, and probably among the 10 best in the FCS. Please don't neg rep me for saying that cause it does hurt a little to say it.
    hard to disagree with that. Having said that, I smile a little more each day knowing they are 1-4 with 0 division I wins.
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    Proud member of TOHBTC and NDSU Team Makers.

  3. #313
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by perthbison View Post
    Just had to mention that I beleive UNI is a talanted team, despite their unlikable coach, and probably among the 10 best in the FCS. Please don't neg rep me for saying that cause it does hurt a little to say it.
    It shouldn't hurt. If true, it should feel good because we had a 19 point 4th quarter lead on said team before giving up a garbage touchdown.
    Get your BB tickets now!!!

  4. #314
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Sagarin projects NDSU to defeat YSU 72.3% (Note: this includes an adjustment for YSU coming off a bye week equal to the home field advantage. 78.5% if you don't believe in the bye week thing.)

    Regular season record projection based on Sagarin's ratings:
    11-0 36.8%
    10-1 42.1%
    9-2 17.5%
    8-3 3.3%
    7-4 0.3%
    6-5 0.01%
    5-6 0.0003%
    4-7 0.000002%
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  5. #315
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    Sagarin projects NDSU to defeat YSU 72.3% (Note: this includes an adjustment for YSU coming off a bye week equal to the home field advantage. 78.5% if you don't believe in the bye week thing.)

    Regular season record projection based on Sagarin's ratings:
    11-0 36.8%
    10-1 42.1%
    9-2 17.5%
    8-3 3.3%
    7-4 0.3%
    6-5 0.01%
    5-6 0.0003%
    4-7 0.000002%
    No doubt, there are a lot of smart people on this board......you should edit this each week.....pretty cool stuff.

  6. #316
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan View Post
    No doubt, there are a lot of smart people on this board......you should edit this each week.....pretty cool stuff.
    He did last year. I love this sort of analysis.

    If we beat YSU the percentage for 11-0 will jump quite a bit.
    http://img185.imageshack.us/img185/1500/gobisoncy9.gif

  7. #317
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    Sagarin projects NDSU to defeat YSU 72.3% (Note: this includes an adjustment for YSU coming off a bye week equal to the home field advantage. 78.5% if you don't believe in the bye week thing.)

    Regular season record projection based on Sagarin's ratings:
    11-0 36.8%
    10-1 42.1%
    9-2 17.5%
    8-3 3.3%
    7-4 0.3%
    6-5 0.01%
    5-6 0.0003%
    4-7 0.000002%
    We don't need guesses. We need more TD's and less injuries. I bet those YSU boys can't sleep right now.. like me!
    Rynomite

    Getting way to obsessed with Bison Football since 2008.


  8. #318
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Sagarin rankings are now WELL CONNECTED, and Sagarin says #37! And #33 in the Predictor ranking! Amazing how 6-0 Ohio is ranked 69th...

    Should be a good year for computer rankings.

  9. #319
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    holy schnikes #37!!!! GO BISON!!!

  10. #320
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Well, a bunch of jumping around now that things are well-connected, and not much of it great for the MVFC. Obviously NDSU stays head, shoulders, knees and toes over the rest of the FCS, and UNI(#6) manages to stay in the top-10 with their tough schedule, but YSU(#11) drops just out after their piss-pounding. Laughingly, it appears the Bison under-performed at Colorado State and over-performed just a bit on Sat. With the lousy way some of the Valley performed this weekend, our conference lead over the Colonial has almost evaporated. The top of the Big Sky looks good with three teams in the top-10, but the rest of the conference lets them down and puts them as the weakest of the big four. As for the rest of the schedule, it looks like three TD wins at least on paper from here on out, with Illinois State being the only exception to close the season. Wild.

    Sagarin's predictions for week 7:
    Code:
    			       Sagarin	  Predict    Result	 Diff
     33	North Dakota State	78.51			
    224	Robert Morris		32.58     +48.44     +52.00     + 3.56
    146	Colorado State		54.11	  +21.89     +15.00	- 6.89
    235	Prairie View A&M	29.73	  +51.29     +59.00	+ 7.71
     90	Northern Iowa		64.47	  +11.53     +12.00	+ 0.47
    109	Youngstown State	61.21	  +19.81     +41.00	+21.19
    128	Indiana State		57.18	  +23.84		
    168	South Dakota		49.65	  +28.86		
    149	Southern Illinois	53.33	  +27.69		
    187	Missouri State		44.90	  +31.10		
    118	South Dakota State	59.41	  +21.61		
    126	Illinois State		57.56	  +18.44		
    					
    189	Western Illinois	44.37			
    					
    	Home	2.51
    Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-10
    Code:
     33  North Dakota State
     78  Eastern Washington
     81  Georgia Southern
     83  Harvard
     89  Cal Poly
     90  Northern Iowa
     93  Wofford
     95  James Madison
     98  Old Dominion
    105  Montana
    Sagarin Predictor Top-4 FCS Conferences
    Code:
    1.  MVFC	56.63
    2.  Colonial	56.32
    3.  Southern	55.17
    4.  Big Sky	54.11

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