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Thread: Sagarin says

  1. #291
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Rockbear99 View Post
    Dont care about MT ST my only concern is Youngstown.
    Agree. I wonder if the spread has every been two touchdowns between #1 and #2.
    When it's third and ten, you can take the milk drinkers and I'll take the whiskey drinkers every time. -Max McGee

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  2. #292
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by Rockbear99 View Post
    Dont care about MT ST my only concern is Youngstown.
    Yup...this old playoff rival will bring it. Our defense simply must answer.

    If you wore the uniform...you're a champion.

  3. #293
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Using Sagarin's Predictor rankings, NDSU (74.59) is currently ahead of the MAC-leading Ohio Bobcats (69.07). Not too shabby. It'll be fun to check again when the teams are well connected.

  4. #294
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by riceweb View Post
    It'll be fun to check again when the teams are well connected.
    I knew a few girls in college who were, ahem, "well connected" to the team. I never knew whole teams did the same thing.

  5. #295
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

    this says NDSU at 50..........where are you all seeing 46?? I know I know I should just claim stuff and not use a link, but it aint my style

  6. #296
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by SamsRams View Post
    http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

    this says NDSU at 50..........where are you all seeing 46?? I know I know I should just claim stuff and not use a link, but it aint my style
    Those were Sept 29th rankings

    Today is Oct. 1st





    NDSU Athletics: oderint dum metuant


  7. #297
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by SamsRams View Post
    http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

    this says NDSU at 50..........where are you all seeing 46?? I know I know I should just claim stuff and not use a link, but it aint my style
    ndsu is 46 in the predictor column...
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  8. #298
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    I can't imagine where'd we be ranked if our SOS was half of what it is now.
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  9. #299
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by SamsRams View Post
    http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

    this says NDSU at 50..........where are you all seeing 46?? I know I know I should just claim stuff and not use a link, but it aint my style
    I was wondering how long it would take for this question to come up this year. Took longer than I expected.

    Look at the ratings on the USA Today link. You'll see this for NDSU:
    Code:
                                   RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS    | PREDICTOR  
     50  North Dakota State   AA =  74.31    4   0   46.11( 209)    0   0  |    0   0  |   71.79   59 |   74.59   46
    Notice the columns labeled RATING, ELO_CHESS and PREDICTOR. Sagarin(the guy) likes the PREDICTOR rating. It includes margin of victory and is the best predictor of future games(hence the name). The BCS wanted to use Sagarin's ratings, but didn't like that margin of victory was included. In order for Sagarin's numbers to be used for the BCS calculation, he had to strip margin out of the computation. That resulted in the ELO_CHESS version which only looks at wins and losses. For some reason, either Sagarin or USA Today decided to create a third computation which sort of splits the difference. That became the RATING number.

    The main list is arranged using the RATING computation. Personally, I prefer the PREDICTOR column because Sagarin himself says it's the most accurate. It takes a little more work to redo the top-10 FCS teams and top-4 FCS conferences as PREDICTOR rankings, but I think it's worth the time. Either I've convinced enough other posters to switch to my side or they're just sick and tired of this explanation. Either way, most of BV seems to use the PREDICTOR column now. Of course NDSU seems to always rank a little higher in the PREDICTOR ranking, so that might also be the reason.

  10. #300
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonnation11 View Post
    I can't imagine where'd we be ranked if our SOS was half of what it is now.
    Teams that player dii or naia schools are enjoying some big time SOS inflation. As it stands for ndsu, pvamu is going to be an anchor in that ranking all year long. But hey at least they ain't valpo.
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    Proud member of TOHBTC and NDSU Team Makers.

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