Sagarin says

[Bison bison]

The unreliable bit isn't the computer. They're utterly predictable. The variance is in human performance. Either the human telling the computer what to do or the humans performing the actions the computer is attempting to simulate.

Thank you, Spock.

[4mcruenomore]

Thank you, Spock.

Funny sh*t right there!

[bisonaudit]

Funny sh*t right there!

Not half as funny as "Spock" clucking the chorus to "Forget You" after seeing "The Muppets" yesterday.

[yellowstreak]

Sagarin's top 8 teams are still in the playoffs.

[Bison bison]

you guys to need to review your notes on bayesian statistics.

of course the top 8 teams are still playing.

[westnodak93bison]

NDSU 71.84 GSU 68.22 and 3 for Bison at home so Bison by 6.62

[Hammersmith]

6.65, but that's just being picky(home advantage is 3.03 this week).

UNI took a nosedive after their embarrassing performance this weekend. Still, they stayed in the top-5 FCS teams. With a win over GSU, the Bison will have played four of the top-5 teams this season(the fifth will be the loser of SHSU/Mont). The Bison are still the top team in FCS and favored in all matchups, but the margin is razor thin if we have to play Montana for the title. Really, it would be a statistical tossup. The conferences remain unchanged, with the MVFC still leading the pack among the real conferences.

Week 15

			rate   predict  actual	 diff
57  North Dakota State	71.84  
59  Montana		71.65  + 0.19
71  Sam Houston State	69.41  + 2.43
76  Georgia Southern	68.22  + 6.65
82  Northern Iowa	66.53  + 8.34  + 8.00	-0.34
89  Minnesota		64.16  + 4.65  +13.00   +8.35
100 Illinois State	61.93  +12.94  +10.00   -2.94
114 Youngstown State	60.28  +14.59  - 3.00  -17.59
119 Lehigh		58.50  +16.37  +24.00   +7.11
122 James Madison	57.98  +16.89  +12.00   -4.89
125 Indiana State	57.31  +11.50  + 9.00   -2.50
149 Southern Illinois	52.90  +15.91  + 6.00   -9.91
153 South Dakota State	51.82  +16.99  +24.00	+7.01
163 Missouri State	48.88  +25.99  +30.00	+4.01
190 Lafayette		42.96  +31.91  +36.00   +4.09
195 Western Illinois	42.20  +26.61  +16.00  -10.61
234 Saint Francis-Pa	29.79  +45.08  +53.00   +7.92

Week 14

			rate   predict  actual	 diff
66  North Dakota State	70.40
69  Northern Iowa	69.76  + 3.94  + 8.00	+4.06
76  Georgia Southern	68.19  + 5.51
89  Minnesota		64.09  + 3.01  +13.00   +9.99
102 Maine		62.42  +11.28
103 Illinois State	62.29  +11.41  +10.00   -1.41
109 Lehigh		61.25  +12.45
113 Youngstown State	60.69  +13.01  - 3.00  -16.01
125 Indiana State	57.68  + 9.42  + 9.00   -0.42
130 James Madison	56.52  +17.18  +12.00   -5.18
149 Southern Illinois	53.23  +13.87  + 6.00   -7.87
152 South Dakota State	52.13  +14.97  +24.00	+9.03
165 Missouri State	49.20  +24.50  +30.00	+5.50
188 Lafayette		43.81  +29.89  +36.00   +6.11
196 Western Illinois	42.29  +24.81  +16.00   -8.81
233 Saint Francis-Pa	30.16  +43.54  +53.00   +9.46

Conferences

Week 15
1. GWC	58.32
2. MVFC	57.02
3. SoCn	56.14
4. BSC	55.69
5. CAA	53.77

Week 14
1. GWC	58.21
2. MVFC	57.52
3. SoCn	56.34
4. BSC	55.42
5. CAA	54.34

[HandoEX]

Hammersmith, no response to the +3 for being the home team in the post above yours? Did ya finally just give up? Lol

[NDSUdonny]

Does 5dimes or anywhere have a line on this weekend's games yet? The site won't let me log-in

[Hammersmith]

Hammersmith, no response to the +3 for being the home team in the post above yours? Did ya finally just give up? Lol

I did include it in the first line of my post. It just wasn't a big deal this week because the home advantage is currently at 3.03. Not much of a difference.