Originally Posted by
RadioBison
For the 2nd straight year, I compared 8 different sets of rankings against the results at the NCAA tournament. Your predictions were correct in 456 out of 640 matches (71.3%), which trailed the other systems by a bit, but I think you can make it up with a few tweaks in the right direction. Intermat was the winner this time around with 74.7%, although that was out of only 586 matches since they only rank down to 20. I wonder if you go back and re-run your algorithms on previous seasons when you make a change so that you can get a feel for how well they predict going forward. I started doing that on my personal system, and I think it helped, but I haven't proven that to myself yet. Anyway, good luck with your updates, and as always, thanks for the great site.