Projected regular season record based on Sagarin's ratings plus 2.61 pts for a bye-week:

9-2 42.4% +10.2% from last week
8-3 42.7%.. -0.3%
7-4 13.6%.. -6.8%
6-5. 1.4%... -2.8%
5-6. 0.01%

Opp..... Win%.. Line
@S Ill.. 72.4%.. 8.0. -2.0%. -1.0 change from last week
v.W Ill. 84.5%. 13.5 +1.6% +0.5
@YSU.. 69.5%.. 7.0 +5.0% +2.0
v.Mo St 99.6% 36.0 +0.2% +1.5

Games by projected order of difficulty:
Opp..... Win%.. Line
-- @YSU.. 69.5%.. 7.0
-- @S Ill.. 72.4%.. 8.0
-- v.W Ill. 84.5%. 13.5
-- v.Mo St 99.6% 36.0