Projected regular season record based on Sagarin's ratings plus 2.61 pts for a bye-week:

10-1. 11.9% +1.9% from last week
9-2.. 30.2% +2.5%
8-3.. 32.0% -0.4%
7-4.. 18.3% -2.1%
6-5.... 6.2% -1.4%
5-6.... 1.2% -0.4%
4-7.... 0.1% -0.1%
3-8.... 0.01%
2-9.... 0.0003%
1-10.. 0.00001%
0-11.. 0.00000004%

Opp..... Win%.. Line
v.Weber 98.3% 29.0.. -0.1%.. 0.0 change from last week
v.UND... 95.3% 22.5.. -3.0%. -6.5
@SDSU. 66.9%.. 6.0.. -1.2%. -0.5
v.UNI.... 78.0% 10.5 +15.5% +6.0
v.USD... 96.6% 25.0. +1.1% +2.0
@Ind St. 77.3% 10.0. +4.6% +2.0
@S Ill.... 68.6%. 6.5. -1.9%.. -1.0
v.W Ill... 80.5% 11.5. -9.5%. -6.0
@YSU.... 61.1%. 4.0. -1.4%.. -0.5
v.Mo St.. 96.4% 24.5 +8.8% +9.0

Games by projected order of difficulty:
Opp..... Win%.. Line
--. @YSU.... 61.1%.. 4.0
+1 @SDSU. 66.9%.. 6.0
+1 @S Ill.... 68.6%. 6.5
+1 @Ind St. 77.3% 10.0
-3. v.UNI.... 78.0% 10.5
+1 v.W Ill... 80.5% 11.5
+2 v.UND... 95.3% 22.5
-2. v.Mo St.. 96.4% 24.5
-1. v.USD... 96.6% 25.0
--. v. Weber 98.3% 29.0