2025 Sagarin Says

[Gully]

Where do you see this?

The only games I see listed out are for this coming week, not for 2 weeks.

He's probably comparing the 'predictor' score and then adjusting for homefield advantage.

[THEsocalledfan]

Where do you see this?

The only games I see listed out are for this coming week, not for 2 weeks.

Just look at the main rankings; it is listed before every 10 teams listed. (The first one is above and slightly right of Ohio State.)

[THEsocalledfan]

He's probably comparing the 'predictor' score and then adjusting for homefield advantage.

Predictor home advantage is actually 4.43, slightly lower.

[Hammerhead]

NDSU moving up a 6 spots in the D-1 ratings and SDSU dropping 2. Here's the top 25 FCS teams this week.

38	North Dakota State   	AA	77.08	MISSOURI VALLEY
53	South Dakota State   	AA	72.95	MISSOURI VALLEY
60	Montana State        	AA	71.91	BIG SKY
83	Tarleton State       	AA	66.60	WESTERN ATHLETIC
84	North Dakota         	AA	66.52	MISSOURI VALLEY
93	Montana              	AA	64.62	BIG SKY
98	Harvard              	AA	63.27	IVY LEAGUE
105	UC Davis             	AA	61.71	BIG SKY
114	Southern Illinois    	AA	60.42	MISSOURI VALLEY
116	Tennessee Tech       	AA	60.23	BIG SOUTH/OVC
117	Mercer               	AA	60.12	SOUTHERN
123	Sacramento State     	AA	58.46	BIG SKY
124	Villanova            	AA	58.45	COASTAL
125	Lehigh               	AA	58.41	PATRIOT
126	SE Louisiana         	AA	58.29	SOUTHLAND
128	Stephen F. Austin    	AA	57.70	SOUTHLAND
130	Austin Peay          	AA	57.56	WESTERN ATHLETIC
133	Abilene Christian    	AA	56.71	WESTERN ATHLETIC
134	Youngstown State     	AA	56.71	MISSOURI VALLEY
135	Jackson State        	AA	56.64	SWAC-EAST
136	Missouri State       	AA	56.46	CONF-USA
137	Monmouth-NJ          	AA	56.45	COASTAL
139	South Dakota         	AA	55.48	MISSOURI VALLEY
140	Illinois State       	AA	54.99	MISSOURI VALLEY
144	Incarnate Word       	AA	54.48	SOUTHLAND

[ByeSonBusiness]

I saw a tweet about SP+ or one of the big rankings systems showing FBS teams ranked 1-9 are collectively 28 points worse and teams ranked 10-25 are ranked about 25 points better than 2019. Seems the rational takeaway if that trend holds is that NIL and portal have created a lot of parity in CFB. Kids who might normally end up at the same 5-10 teams are either committing elsewhere to secure a bag or transferring away if their not starting.