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Thread: 2015 Sagarin Says

  1. #221
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    A chalk Sagarin bracket would have MVFC teams only losing to other MVFC teams, there are several squeakers though ( 2nd round UNI @ PSU, Jax St final, 1st round SDSU @ Mont).

    15% chance MVFC drops zero non-conference games.
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  2. #222
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    It predicts Portland over UNI, but then UNI has a better chance in the remaining games? How does that work?

    Also, a computer doesn't know Montana was on its 3rd string QB for half the season. With Gustafson back they're a dark horse for the whole grid.

  3. #223
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by taper View Post
    It predicts Portland over UNI, but then UNI has a better chance in the remaining games? How does that work?

    Also, a computer doesn't know Montana was on its 3rd string QB for half the season. With Gustafson back they're a dark horse for the whole grid.
    Bye week and home field. Also, it doesn't predict PSU over UNI. Just a better chance of PSU advancing to the next round. UNI has to win twice to advance to that spot, PSU only once.
    Last edited by bisonaudit; 11-24-2015 at 10:29 AM.
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  4. #224
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by bisonaudit View Post
    it doesn't predict PSU over UNI.
    Isn't PSU's rank plus home field plus bye greater than UNI's rank? How is PSU not predicted over UNI?

  5. #225
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by JDZ View Post
    Isn't PSU's rank plus home field plus bye greater than UNI's rank? How is PSU not predicted over UNI?
    It's a squeaker. PSU 60.01 + 2.68 home + 2.61 bye = 65.30 < UNI 65.50. 50.6% UNI. Pick 'em.
    I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud

    We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie

  6. #226
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by taper View Post
    Also, a computer doesn't know Montana was on its 3rd string QB for half the season. With Gustafson back they're a dark horse for the whole grid.
    I diagree Montana does not survive a SDSU game then NDSU, then ISUR

    no way they go 3-0 against MvFC teams should it go that way
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  7. #227
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by tjbison View Post
    I diagree Montana does not survive a SDSU game then NDSU, then ISUR

    no way they go 3-0 against MvFC teams should it go that way
    That's not what he meant. He just meant MT is a dark horse.


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  8. #228
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by CAS4127 View Post
    That's not what he meant. He just meant MT is a dark horse.


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    dark horse for what then? usually the way he stated it he thinks with Brady back they could win it all...and I don't think they will

    not sure what you mean
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  9. #229
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by tjbison View Post
    dark horse for what then? usually the way he stated it he thinks with Brady back they could win it all...and I don't think they will

    not sure what you mean
    As in sleeper/under rated/most likely non-seed to win it all-->not that they will.

    This is how I took it.


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  10. #230
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    Default Re: Sagarin says

    Quote Originally Posted by CAS4127 View Post
    As in sleeper/under rated/most likely non-seed to win it all-->not that they will.

    This is how I took it.


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    umm...ok that's what I said, splitting hairs here I think
    NDSU Athletics: oderint dum metuant


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