2015 Sagarin Says

[missingnumber7]

There seems to be a lack of understanding in the S.O.S. department over at JSU...

http://gojaxstate.boards.net/thread/1671/sagarin-11-15

These people also think the OVC is a tough conference.

[StL Bison Fan]

These people also think the OVC is a tough conference.

Thats ridiculous.

[missingnumber7]

Thats ridiculous.

And in the next thread they point out that AP has won 1 game since 2013.

And that's not 1 conference game...that's 1 game period.

[Christopher Moen]

I'd say those chances are equally 0% for both teams at this point in the season.

I believe you missed my point. The two games NDSU lost were literally last second losses, while the the two games (UNI and YSU) they could have lost were won in the final minutes.

[Schwarz04]

I believe you missed my point. The two games NDSU lost were literally last second losses, while the the two games (UNI and YSU) they could have lost were won in the final minutes.

My reply was pretty much a joke...

I'm not really sure what the probabilities of NDSU possibly being 6-4 vs JSU being 10-0 has to do with my S.O.S comment?

[Schwarz04]

These people also think the OVC is a tough conference.

I mean the only "good" win NDSU has this year is against SDSU according to them haha...

I'd venture to say a number of our wins are better than their best win

[Christopher Moen]

My reply was pretty much a joke...

I'm not really sure what the probabilities of NDSU possibly being 6-4 vs JSU being 10-0 has to do with my S.O.S comment?

I was talking about NDSU being 10-0 as opposed to 6-4. This was in response to one of their fans who doesn't think the Bison have played anyone except SDSU. That in itself shows his/her lack of understanding SOS.

[Schwarz04]

I was talking about NDSU being 10-0 as opposed to 6-4. This was in response to one of their fans who doesn't think the Bison have played anyone except SDSU. That in itself shows his/her lack of understanding SOS.

That makes sense now. I thought you were referring to JSU when you said "their"...

[Hammersmith]

Playoff edition. Added all teams in our quarter of the bracket plus ISUr & JSU. Home/away/neutral factored in but not bye week advantage.

Sagarin's 2015 Playoff Round 1 Predictions

						
Rank    Team                   Sagarin Predict  Result  Diff						
 58	North Dakota State  	72.18				
117	Montana             	57.22	+12.28	 -3.00	-15.28	
162	Weber State         	47.53	+27.33	+27.00	 -0.33	
147	North Dakota        	50.09	+24.77	+25.00	 +0.23	
 86	South Dakota State  	65.58	 +3.92	+21.00	+17.08	
 87	Northern Iowa       	65.50	 +9.36	 +3.00	 -6.36	
148	South Dakota        	50.05	+24.81	 -3.00	-27.81	
134	Indiana State       	51.70	+17.80	+14.00	 -3.80	
122	Southern Illinois   	55.15	+14.35	 +6.00	 -8.35	
116	Western Illinois    	57.26	+17.60	+52.00	+34.40	
109	Youngstown State    	58.75	+10.75	 +3.00	 -7.75	
227	Missouri State      	30.14	+44.72	+55.00	+10.28	
						
 86	South Dakota State  	65.58	 +9.28			
117	Montana             	57.22	+17.64			
						
105	Portland State      	60.01	+14.85			
 87	Northern Iowa       	65.50	 +9.36			
127	Eastern Illinois    	52.69	+22.17			
						
 71	Illinois State      	69.60	 -0.10			
						
 82	Jacksonville State  	66.29	 +5.89			
						
					Total Diff:	-7.69	
		Home Field	 2.68

Sagarin FCS Top-25

						
Rank  SagRank  RATING   Team						
 1	 58	72.18	North Dakota State  			
 2	 71	69.60	Illinois State      			
 3	 82	66.29	Jacksonville State  			
 4	 86	65.58	South Dakota State  			
 5	 87	65.50	Northern Iowa       			
 6	 98	61.15	Southern Utah       			
 7	 99	60.86	Sam Houston State   			
 8	101	60.82	James Madison       			
 9	102	60.72	Chattanooga         			
10	104	60.14	McNeese State       			
11	105	60.01	Portland State      			
12	106	59.96	Harvard             			
13	108	59.63	William & Mary      			
14	109	58.75	Youngstown State    			
15	112	57.79	Dartmouth           			
16	114	57.38	The Citadel         			
17	115	57.28	Coastal Carolina    			
18	116	57.26	Western Illinois    			
19	117	57.22	Montana             			
20	119	56.43	Richmond            			
21	122	55.15	Southern Illinois   			
22	123	54.83	Charleston Southern 			
23	126	53.36	Villanova           			
24	127	52.69	Eastern Illinois    			
25	128	52.61	Samford

Sagarin Conference Ranking

						
Rank    Conference             CntMean NDSU						
 1	BIG 12              	79.40	 8			
 2	SEC                 	77.67	11			
 3	PAC-12              	75.99	11			
 4	BIG TEN             	75.52	 9			
 5	ACC                 	75.37	11			
 6	I-A INDEPENDENTS    	72.87	 3			
 7	AMERICAN ATHLETIC   	67.71	 6			
 8	MWC                 	61.51	 3			
 9	MAC                 	59.80	 3			
10	MISSOURI VALLEY     	58.54	 1			
11	CONFERENCE USA      	55.19	 2			
12	SUN BELT            	54.48	 1			
13	BIG SKY             	48.42	 1			
14	SOUTHERN            	46.67	 1			
15	COLONIAL            	46.51	 1			
16	OHIO VALLEY         	44.90	 1			
17	IVY LEAGUE          	44.44	 1			
18	BIG SOUTH           	42.19	 1			
19	SOUTHLAND           	41.04	 1			
20	PATRIOT             	35.55	 1			
21	NORTHEAST           	34.32	 1			
22	MID-EASTERN         	32.51	 1			
23	SWAC                	26.85	 1			
24	PIONEER             	24.99	 1

[unbison]

I know you guys live and die by these numbers .... Guess the ncaa doesn't think so