2015 Sagarin Says

[scottietohottie]

soooo sick of these guys f*ckin' up our sh!t. We'll still be a playoff team tho.

I thought they went with sundogs?

[BattleBorn]

I thought they went with sundogs?

Hahahaha! I usually don't laugh that hard BEFORE coffee!

[Mr Pep Band]

http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm

I find it hilarious that there are TWO Ivy League schools and SIU ranked ahead of Coastal Carolina and FOUR MVFC teams ahead of Jaksonville state.

[Hammerhead]

And Oregon would only be favored by about a touchdown if we played in Eugene next week. I wonder if Vernon Adams wishes he was still at EWU?

[BisonHorns]

Ndsu 62 > James Madison 97
I know being number 1in the polls isn't that important but c'mon.

[stevdock]

Ndsu 62 > James Madison 97
I know being number 1in the polls isn't that important but c'mon.

I don't mind that one as I believe they normally play a decent schedule, but being one spot behind Minnesota?? We've got work to do

[bisonaudit]

Projected regular season record based on Sagarin's ratings plus 2.61 pts for a bye-week:

10-1 30.7% +3.9% from last week
9-2.. 44.9% +1.8%
8-3.. 20.6%. -2.9%
7-4... 3.6%.. -2.2%
6-5... 0.3%... -0.4%
5-6... 0.01%
4-7... 0.00001%

Opp..... Win%.. Line
v.USD.. 96.3% 24.5 +0.4%. +1.0 change from last week
@Ind St 89.1% 16.5 +1.0%. +0.5
@S Ill... 70.9%. 7.5. -4.2%.. -1.5
v.W Ill.. 89.6% 17.0. -2.7%. -2.5
@YSU... 56.3%. 2.0. +1.0%.. 0.0
v.Mo St 99.8% 40.0... 0.0% +1.0

Games by projected order of difficulty:
Opp..... Win%.. Line
-- @YSU.. 56.3%.. 2.0
-- @S Ill.. 70.9%.. 7.5
-- @Ind St 89.1% 16.5
-- v.W Ill. 89.6% 17.0
-- v.USD.. 96.3% 24.5
-- v.Mo St 99.8% 40.0

[bisonaudit]

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Rabbits and Guins this week.

[Hammersmith]

Sagarin's 2015 Week 7 Predictions

						
Rank    Team                   Sagarin Predict  Result  Diff						
 62	North Dakota State  	70.48				
140	Montana             	52.66	+15.06	 -3.00	-18.06	
167	Weber State         	45.56	+27.68	+27.00	 -0.68	
168	North Dakota        	45.46	+27.78	+25.00	 -2.78	
 92	South Dakota State  	63.47	 +4.25	+21.00	+16.75	
 98	Northern Iowa       	62.40	+10.84	 +3.00	 -7.84	
156	South Dakota        	48.95	+24.29			
148	Indiana State       	51.01	+16.71			
107	Southern Illinois   	60.29	 +7.43			
124	Western Illinois    	56.19	+17.05			
 81	Youngstown State    	65.58	 +2.14			
218	Missouri State      	33.04	+40.20			
						
 74	Illinois State      	67.71				
						
						
					Total Diff:	-12.61	
		Home Field	 2.76

Sagarin FCS Top-25

						
Rank  SagRank  RATING   Team						
 1	 62	70.48	North Dakota State  			
 2	 74	67.71	Illinois State      			
 3	 81	65.58	Youngstown State    			
 4	 84	65.04	Chattanooga         			
 5	 88	63.80	Harvard             			
 6	 92	63.47	South Dakota State  			
 7	 93	63.04	Jacksonville State  			
 8	 97	62.46	James Madison       			
 9	 98	62.40	Northern Iowa       			
10	105	60.68	Dartmouth           			
11	106	60.55	Portland State      			
12	107	60.29	Southern Illinois   			
13	110	59.82	Sam Houston State   			
14	111	59.81	William & Mary      			
15	112	59.59	Coastal Carolina    			
16	115	58.19	McNeese State       			
17	117	57.89	Eastern Washington  			
18	118	57.87	Southern Utah       			
19	119	57.47	Samford             			
20	124	56.19	Western Illinois    			
21	128	55.09	Montana State       			
22	130	54.28	Eastern Kentucky    			
23	131	54.19	Cal Poly-SLO        			
24	135	53.39	Central Arkansas    			
25	137	53.12	Richmond

Sagarin Conference Ranking

						
Rank    Conference             CntMean NDSU						
1	BIG 12              	80.43	 9			
2	SEC                 	78.36	13			
3	ACC                 	76.57	11			
4	PAC-12              	76.11	10			
5	BIG TEN             	75.21	11			
6	I-A INDEPENDENTS    	74.94	 3			
7	AMERICAN ATHLETIC   	67.07	 6			
8	MWC                 	61.66	 3			
9	MAC                 	60.41	 2			
10	MISSOURI VALLEY     	59.29	 1			
11	CONFERENCE USA      	56.45	 3			
12	SUN BELT            	54.48	 1			
13	BIG SKY             	48.24	 1			
14	COLONIAL            	47.03	 1			
15	SOUTHERN            	45.63	 1			
16	OHIO VALLEY         	44.70	 1			
17	IVY LEAGUE          	43.72	 1			
18	SOUTHLAND           	42.38	 1			
19	BIG SOUTH           	42.06	 1			
20	NORTHEAST           	35.18	 1			
21	PATRIOT             	35.05	 1			
22	MID-EASTERN         	31.86	 1			
23	SWAC                	26.95	 1			
24	PIONEER             	23.89	 1

[bisonaudit]

If Sagarin were the selection committee half the playoff field would be from the MVFC and the Big Sky right now.

5 of the 8 seeds MVFC. Big Sky 5 teams playing the first weekend.