I watched a bit of the UNI v Missouri State game. If Missouri State is good, then Northern Iowa is nearly as good. UNI's offensive line dominated Missouri State's defensive line and made #2 Tye Edwards look like David Johnson. Edwards has averaged 6.0 ypc for the year despite UNI's terrible record.
On the flip side, Hawai'i and the other Dakotas held UNI to under 75 yards rushing (UNI got behind early in all those games though.)