2022 Sagarin ratings

[scottietohottie]

We dropped to 58 this week. When we play these weak teams we've got to start beating them by 70 so we don't go backwards. https://sagarin.usatoday.com/2022-2/...-ratings-2022/

It don't help when they score 14 points.

[Rock]

Shutout>>>blowout

[B.Schlossman Fan Club]

Delaware beats navy and is still in the 100’s!

[taper]

Delaware beats navy and is still in the 100’s!

This early in the season Sagarin is still partially using last year, where Delaware was 5-6. Expect to see them climb as this season counts more. They have Monmouth, Richmond, and Nova to end the season. If they win those 3 they should be seeded high.

[bisonaudit]

Delaware beats navy and is still in the 100’s!

Was Navy supposed to be good?

[Professor Chaos]

Starting to look like Arizona will be favored on 9/17....

[Hammerhead]

Was Navy supposed to be good?

The preseason rating had Navy at #94 which was below the top three FCS teams.

[THEsocalledfan]

Some really goofy ones in here (like UNI over UND still), but correctly picking up on Weber and Incarnate Word; FCS top 25 per Sagarin:

58 North Dakota State AA = 72.35 2 0 33.39( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.10 64 | 73.16 55 | 71.18 63 MISSOURI VALLEY
83 Weber State AA = 67.31 2 0 62.67( 88) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.47 89 | 73.52 54 | 63.92 89 BIG SKY
86 Montana AA = 67.13 2 0 41.54( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.92 97 | 65.61 93 | 68.49 75 BIG SKY
87 South Dakota State AA = 67.00 1 1 66.87( 65) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.97 88 | 67.86 82 | 65.63 86 MISSOURI VALLEY
107 Incarnate Word AA = 60.44 2 0 55.29( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.04 123 | 55.44 140 | 62.51 94 SOUTHLAND
111 Northern Iowa AA = 59.80 0 2 71.13( 37) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.03 101 | 62.29 110 | 54.39 128 MISSOURI VALLEY
116 Chattanooga AA = 59.32 2 0 39.98( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.01 111 | 57.26 126 | 57.72 111 SOUTHERN
119 UC Davis AA = 58.76 0 2 72.02( 34) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.64 133 | 55.48 139 | 59.37 105 BIG SKY
121 Samford AA = 58.36 1 1 72.77( 32) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.22 109 | 54.22 145 | 57.17 114 SOUTHERN
122 North Dakota AA = 58.35 1 1 65.73( 71) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.77 107 | 59.38 119 | 53.96 130 MISSOURI VALLEY
125 Sacramento State AA = 58.07 1 0 35.58( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.65 126 | 59.44 118 | 55.01 124 BIG SKY
126 Montana State AA = 57.68 2 0 27.03( 248) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.59 157 | 56.06 129 | 60.60 103 BIG SKY
128 Dartmouth AA = 57.24 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.31 131 | 57.14 127 | 54.63 126 IVY LEAGUE
129 Austin Peay AA = 57.07 2 1 28.02( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.04 132 | 52.43 149 | 57.03 116 ASUN
130 Missouri State AA = 56.97 2 0 48.06( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.66 150 | 56.99 128 | 57.26 112 MISSOURI VALLEY
131 Youngstown State AA = 56.63 2 0 33.87( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.20 121 | 55.85 133 | 53.51 132 MISSOURI VALLEY
135 Delaware AA = 55.98 2 0 44.31( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.39 120 | 55.77 136 | 51.99 142 COLONIAL
136 Idaho AA = 55.96 0 2 73.88( 23) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.26 135 | 52.03 151 | 55.19 123 BIG SKY
137 Harvard AA = 55.85 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.83 136 | 55.73 137 | 53.15 136 IVY LEAGUE
138 Furman AA = 55.27 1 1 89.37( 1) 0 1 | 0 1 | 55.18 138 | 51.52 154 | 54.54 127 SOUTHERN
139 South Dakota AA = 55.23 0 2 77.19( 10) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.04 148 | 55.53 138 | 53.42 133 MISSOURI VALLEY
141 Princeton AA = 54.79 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.70 140 | 54.64 143 | 52.01 141 IVY LEAGUE
143 Sam Houston State AA = 54.30 0 2 67.11( 62) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.08 147 | 55.85 134 | 51.15 146 WAC
144 William & Mary AA = 54.10 2 0 45.63( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.09 142 | 50.99 157 | 52.82 137 COLONIAL
145 Elon AA = 53.78 1 1 53.86( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.75 139 | 49.45 163 | 52.56 139 COLONIAL

[NDSU92]

Some really goofy ones in here (like UNI over UND still), but correctly picking up on Weber and Incarnate Word; FCS top 25 per Sagarin:

58 North Dakota State AA = 72.35 2 0 33.39( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 72.10 64 | 73.16 55 | 71.18 63 MISSOURI VALLEY
83 Weber State AA = 67.31 2 0 62.67( 88) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.47 89 | 73.52 54 | 63.92 89 BIG SKY
86 Montana AA = 67.13 2 0 41.54( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.92 97 | 65.61 93 | 68.49 75 BIG SKY
87 South Dakota State AA = 67.00 1 1 66.87( 65) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.97 88 | 67.86 82 | 65.63 86 MISSOURI VALLEY
107 Incarnate Word AA = 60.44 2 0 55.29( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.04 123 | 55.44 140 | 62.51 94 SOUTHLAND
111 Northern Iowa AA = 59.80 0 2 71.13( 37) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.03 101 | 62.29 110 | 54.39 128 MISSOURI VALLEY
116 Chattanooga AA = 59.32 2 0 39.98( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.01 111 | 57.26 126 | 57.72 111 SOUTHERN
119 UC Davis AA = 58.76 0 2 72.02( 34) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.64 133 | 55.48 139 | 59.37 105 BIG SKY
121 Samford AA = 58.36 1 1 72.77( 32) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.22 109 | 54.22 145 | 57.17 114 SOUTHERN
122 North Dakota AA = 58.35 1 1 65.73( 71) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.77 107 | 59.38 119 | 53.96 130 MISSOURI VALLEY
125 Sacramento State AA = 58.07 1 0 35.58( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.65 126 | 59.44 118 | 55.01 124 BIG SKY
126 Montana State AA = 57.68 2 0 27.03( 248) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.59 157 | 56.06 129 | 60.60 103 BIG SKY
128 Dartmouth AA = 57.24 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.31 131 | 57.14 127 | 54.63 126 IVY LEAGUE
129 Austin Peay AA = 57.07 2 1 28.02( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.04 132 | 52.43 149 | 57.03 116 ASUN
130 Missouri State AA = 56.97 2 0 48.06( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.66 150 | 56.99 128 | 57.26 112 MISSOURI VALLEY
131 Youngstown State AA = 56.63 2 0 33.87( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.20 121 | 55.85 133 | 53.51 132 MISSOURI VALLEY
135 Delaware AA = 55.98 2 0 44.31( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.39 120 | 55.77 136 | 51.99 142 COLONIAL
136 Idaho AA = 55.96 0 2 73.88( 23) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.26 135 | 52.03 151 | 55.19 123 BIG SKY
137 Harvard AA = 55.85 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.83 136 | 55.73 137 | 53.15 136 IVY LEAGUE
138 Furman AA = 55.27 1 1 89.37( 1) 0 1 | 0 1 | 55.18 138 | 51.52 154 | 54.54 127 SOUTHERN
139 South Dakota AA = 55.23 0 2 77.19( 10) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.04 148 | 55.53 138 | 53.42 133 MISSOURI VALLEY
141 Princeton AA = 54.79 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.70 140 | 54.64 143 | 52.01 141 IVY LEAGUE
143 Sam Houston State AA = 54.30 0 2 67.11( 62) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.08 147 | 55.85 134 | 51.15 146 WAC
144 William & Mary AA = 54.10 2 0 45.63( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.09 142 | 50.99 157 | 52.82 137 COLONIAL
145 Elon AA = 53.78 1 1 53.86( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.75 139 | 49.45 163 | 52.56 139 COLONIAL

Did Sagarin go to UNI or something? IMO his models are easily the best I've seen in my 12 years of following rating systems. Except for the UNI bias. Maybe garage doors factor into the model somehow

[Mr Pep Band]

Starting to look like Arizona will be favored on 9/17....

Sagarin has them favored by 1.67. Looks like we'll need to get a SAFETY on their Hot & Dry dessert asses.

NDSU is ranked 58.
Arizona is ranked 65.

If we travel well down there, I think the home field advantage will be neutralized.