2021 Sagarin Says

[gavin2126]

I’m not taking anything away from the Bobcat win over the Jackrabbits, but let’s but the circumstances of those two games into context. SDSU beat us at home coming off a bye week whereas the Bobcats played the Rabbits at home after the rabbits had consecutive weeks with trips to the west and east coast.

Someone mentioned SDSU coaches not being patient. Sure seemed that way as I believe only rushed the ball 12 times in the second half averaging maybe 2 yds per carry after having averaged around 5 the first half. They seemed to get real pass happy in the second half. A heavy dose of Leupke and Williams with a healthy Watson threatening the jet sweep and I’m certain we can average 5 plus yards a carry and get to the magic number of 162 rushing yards before the 4th quarter even starts.

SDSU wasn't off a bye when they played us. Agreed about them being impatient too.

[oldmantutters]

I’m not taking anything away from the Bobcat win over the Jackrabbits, but let’s but the circumstances of those two games into context. SDSU beat us at home coming off a bye week whereas the Bobcats played the Rabbits at home after the rabbits had consecutive weeks with trips to the west and east coast.

Someone mentioned SDSU coaches not being patient. Sure seemed that way as I believe only rushed the ball 12 times in the second half averaging maybe 2 yds per carry after having averaged around 5 the first half. They seemed to get real pass happy in the second half. A heavy dose of Leupke and Williams with a healthy Watson threatening the jet sweep and I’m certain we can average 5 plus yards a carry and get to the magic number of 162 rushing yards before the 4th quarter even starts.

Well we certainly don't need to worry about TR abandoning the run.

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[X-Factor]

Can't find a decent place to post this so I thought maybe in the Sagarin thread where we talk about rankings and standings and such. Anyway, which team is going to take SHSU's place as the decent/good team that plays in a shitty conference and will continually get seeded way too high year in and year out?

I think for the first few years that team could come out of the CAA because it will carry the perception of being a top conference when in reality it's filled with mediocre teams.

but eventually there is going to be some high flying team from a terrible conference that will keep getting a high seed because they destroy their terrible schedule every year.

ETSU or Furman comes to mind in the weak SoCon. I don't recall the ETSU roster situation whether they were Senior heavy or not.

[MankatoBison]

Honest Question, does Sagarin have a factor for how much a team dominates in the trenches, even though they lose a game?

Gotta think JMU would be #1 overall if they had a factor that could accurately measure that

[BisonHorns]

SDSU wasn't off a bye when they played us. Agreed about them being impatient too.

How positive are you? I thought I remember them having a week off.

[CAS4127]

How positive are you? I thought I remember them having a week off.

They played and beat YSU on 10/30 and did the same to us on 11/6.

[thebootfitter]

…and I’m certain we can average 5 plus yards a carry and get to the magic number of 162 rushing yards before the 4th quarter even starts.

I think we got there about halfway through the second quarter! Good call!
😆

[oldmantutters]

I think we got there about halfway through the second quarter! Good call!
[emoji38]

4:10 into the second quarter. Crossed that threshold on Kobe's long run.

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[THEsocalledfan]

Final 2021 FCS top 25 Sagarin rankings:

38 North Dakota State AA = 76.27 14 1 55.75( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.97 46 | 75.33 42 | 81.50 22 MISSOURI VALLEY
68 James Madison AA = 71.20 12 2 49.95( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.72 68 | 70.24 73 | 73.86 47 COLONIAL
71 South Dakota State AA = 70.63 11 4 57.92( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.46 67 | 69.66 76 | 70.26 68 MISSOURI VALLEY
91 Montana AA = 65.38 10 3 51.86( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.15 99 | 65.01 93 | 68.37 74 BIG SKY
92 Montana State AA = 65.13 12 3 52.70( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.78 104 | 64.81 96 | 71.06 62 BIG SKY
95 Eastern Washington AA = 64.86 10 3 54.64( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.89 92 | 63.90 99 | 66.25 83 BIG SKY
98 Sam Houston State AA = 64.31 11 1 47.07( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.51 96 | 64.09 98 | 63.59 97 AQ7
99 Northern Iowa AA = 63.86 6 6 60.60( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.28 89 | 62.32 104 | 61.37 108 MISSOURI VALLEY
103 Missouri State AA = 63.21 8 4 56.15( 141) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.37 103 | 61.91 106 | 65.05 89 MISSOURI VALLEY
109 Southern Illinois AA = 60.93 8 5 57.27( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.94 107 | 60.09 111 | 59.79 112 MISSOURI VALLEY
110 Sacramento State AA = 60.67 9 3 49.38( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.34 118 | 59.87 112 | 64.87 92 BIG SKY
114 Villanova AA = 59.56 10 3 48.55( 173) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.49 117 | 58.23 118 | 61.98 104 COLONIAL
115 Weber State AA = 59.44 6 5 50.20( 156) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.37 105 | 57.63 121 | 56.29 127 BIG SKY
117 South Dakota AA = 59.32 7 5 55.90( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.31 113 | 58.48 116 | 58.22 121 MISSOURI VALLEY
119 North Dakota AA = 59.02 5 6 57.20( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.95 115 | 58.11 119 | 58.23 120 MISSOURI VALLEY
122 Dartmouth AA = 58.07 9 1 41.84( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.39 126 | 57.10 126 | 61.12 109 IVY LEAGUE
123 Princeton AA = 57.86 9 1 42.58( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.87 128 | 58.43 117 | 58.05 122 IVY LEAGUE
124 SE Louisiana AA = 57.58 9 4 46.85( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.93 125 | 56.74 129 | 57.92 123 SOUTHLAND
127 Kennesaw State AA = 57.47 11 2 43.11( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.39 136 | 57.18 123 | 62.18 102 BIG SOUTH
128 Incarnate Word AA = 57.42 10 3 47.95( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.62 131 | 56.14 132 | 61.44 107 SOUTHLAND
129 Harvard AA = 57.39 8 2 42.60( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.16 134 | 56.76 128 | 60.90 110 IVY LEAGUE
131 East Tennessee State AA = 56.53 11 2 48.26( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.96 139 | 56.30 131 | 62.19 101 SOUTHERN
133 Stephen F. Austin AA = 56.23 8 4 47.09( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.68 130 | 54.21 138 | 59.02 117 AQ7
139 Chattanooga AA = 54.93 6 5 48.01( 180) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.58 132 | 53.89 139 | 52.71 145 SOUTHERN
140 UC Davis AA = 53.95 8 4 49.13( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.36 138 | 53.62 141 | 52.97 142 BIG SKY

Discuss. (Edit, missed SDSU first time.)

[Twincitybizon]

Final 2021 FCS top 25 Sagarin rankings:

38 North Dakota State AA = 76.27 14 1 55.75( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.97 46 | 75.33 42 | 81.50 22 MISSOURI VALLEY
68 James Madison AA = 71.20 12 2 49.95( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.72 68 | 70.24 73 | 73.86 47 COLONIAL
91 Montana AA = 65.38 10 3 51.86( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.15 99 | 65.01 93 | 68.37 74 BIG SKY
92 Montana State AA = 65.13 12 3 52.70( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.78 104 | 64.81 96 | 71.06 62 BIG SKY
95 Eastern Washington AA = 64.86 10 3 54.64( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.89 92 | 63.90 99 | 66.25 83 BIG SKY
98 Sam Houston State AA = 64.31 11 1 47.07( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.51 96 | 64.09 98 | 63.59 97 AQ7
99 Northern Iowa AA = 63.86 6 6 60.60( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.28 89 | 62.32 104 | 61.37 108 MISSOURI VALLEY
103 Missouri State AA = 63.21 8 4 56.15( 141) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.37 103 | 61.91 106 | 65.05 89 MISSOURI VALLEY
109 Southern Illinois AA = 60.93 8 5 57.27( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.94 107 | 60.09 111 | 59.79 112 MISSOURI VALLEY
110 Sacramento State AA = 60.67 9 3 49.38( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.34 118 | 59.87 112 | 64.87 92 BIG SKY
114 Villanova AA = 59.56 10 3 48.55( 173) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.49 117 | 58.23 118 | 61.98 104 COLONIAL
115 Weber State AA = 59.44 6 5 50.20( 156) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.37 105 | 57.63 121 | 56.29 127 BIG SKY
117 South Dakota AA = 59.32 7 5 55.90( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.31 113 | 58.48 116 | 58.22 121 MISSOURI VALLEY
119 North Dakota AA = 59.02 5 6 57.20( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.95 115 | 58.11 119 | 58.23 120 MISSOURI VALLEY
122 Dartmouth AA = 58.07 9 1 41.84( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.39 126 | 57.10 126 | 61.12 109 IVY LEAGUE
123 Princeton AA = 57.86 9 1 42.58( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.87 128 | 58.43 117 | 58.05 122 IVY LEAGUE
124 SE Louisiana AA = 57.58 9 4 46.85( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.93 125 | 56.74 129 | 57.92 123 SOUTHLAND
127 Kennesaw State AA = 57.47 11 2 43.11( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.39 136 | 57.18 123 | 62.18 102 BIG SOUTH
128 Incarnate Word AA = 57.42 10 3 47.95( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.62 131 | 56.14 132 | 61.44 107 SOUTHLAND
129 Harvard AA = 57.39 8 2 42.60( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.16 134 | 56.76 128 | 60.90 110 IVY LEAGUE
131 East Tennessee State AA = 56.53 11 2 48.26( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.96 139 | 56.30 131 | 62.19 101 SOUTHERN
133 Stephen F. Austin AA = 56.23 8 4 47.09( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.68 130 | 54.21 138 | 59.02 117 AQ7
139 Chattanooga AA = 54.93 6 5 48.01( 180) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.58 132 | 53.89 139 | 52.71 145 SOUTHERN
140 UC Davis AA = 53.95 8 4 49.13( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.36 138 | 53.62 141 | 52.97 142 BIG SKY
141 Nicholls State AA = 53.49 6 5 50.95( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.45 143 | 52.19 148 | 55.71 130 SOUTHLAND

Discuss.

As much as I like to pretend SDSU doesn't exist. I'm pretty sure they do..