Sam Herders take on the playoff picture for everyone else:
https://herosports.com/fcs-football-...dictions-bzbz/
Sam Herders take on the playoff picture for everyone else:
https://herosports.com/fcs-football-...dictions-bzbz/
The Bisonville MASTERS Pool
Winners - 2020: Vet70 | 2021: ND Gooch | 2023: Strategery
There was a guy on AGS who came up with a point system for playoff success. Basically teams got anywhere from 5 points for a playoff appearance and a first round exit escalating to 90 points for a championship. I broke it down by decade and it's pretty incredible how NDSU's dominance of the 2010s blows away any other number anyone else has put up in a single decade:
Overall NDSU is still 3rd all time in FCS/1AA history using this scoring system but in terms of playoff appearances they're well behind most of their peers at the top of this list and are gaining quickly on Montana in particular:
1. The FCS was the Best option for NDSU for a very long time.
2. As a general rule- the FCS sucks at football and has proven that is not committed to football at all.
3. It's time to go FBS
Awesome stuff. Numerically drives my point home. The skyrocketing difference between the #1 Bison in the 2010s compared to prior decades is astounding. SDSU's number would likely be higher if not for all the early playoff pairings with NDSU. Then the list of 2nd tier teams matches with my seat of the pants list.
Really like that guys system. I agree with all of it's rankings.
The Bisonville MASTERS Pool
Winners - 2020: Vet70 | 2021: ND Gooch | 2023: Strategery
I'll put this here since I don't want to start a new thread and it will affect the MVFC at large bids... Kind of related to Sam's article, here's what the auto-bid pictures are for the rest of the conferences, and who might contend for the at larges:
Big Sky:
Weber: 2-0 (Upcoming: v NAU, @SUU, v Idaho St, @CP)
EWU: 2-1 (21-28 L @Idaho; Upcoming: v CP, @UCD, v Idaho)
UCD: 2-1 (13-18 L @Weber; Upcoming: v Idaho St, v EWU, @CP)
Big South:
Kennesaw: 3-0 (Upcoming: v Robert Mo, @Monmouth)
Gardner-Webb 2-0 (Upcoming: v Monmouth, @Charleston Southern)
CAA:
Delaware: 2-0 (Upcoming: @RI, v Albany, @Delaware St, @ Villanova
RI: 2-0 (Upcoming: v Delaware, v NH, v Maine, @Stony Brook)
JMU: 3-0 (Upcoming: @W&M, @Richmond, v Elon)
Richmond: 2-0 (Upcoming: v Elon, v JMU, @W&M)
Maine: 2-1 (0-37 L @Delaware; Upcoming: v Villanova, @RI, v NH)
MVFC:
NDSU: 5-1 (14-38 L @SIU; Upcoming: @USD, v SDSU, @UNI)
UND: 4-1 (13-34 L @NDSU; Upcoming: @YSU, v Mo St)
SDSU: 4-1 (17-28 L @UND; Upcoming: @NDSU, v USD)
Mo St: 3-4, 3-1 Conf (0-48 L @Oklahoma, 20-27 L @UCA, 24-33 L v UCA 0-25 L v NDSU; Upcoming: v SIU, @UND, v YSU)
SIU: 4-2 (21-44 L @UND, 3-44 L v SDSU; Upcoming: @Mo St, v WIU)
NEC:
Duquesne: 3-0 (Upcoming: @Bryant)
Bryant: 2-1 (19-24 L @Long Island; Upcoming: v Duquesne)
OVC:
Murray St: 4-0 (Upcoming: v East Ill, @Austin Peay, v Jax St)
Jax St: 7-1 (24-41 L @Florida St; Upcoming: v Austin Peay, @East Ill, @ Murray St)
Patriot:
Holy Cross: 1-0 (Upcoming: v Fordham, v Bucknell)
Lafayette: 1-0 (Upcoming: @Bucknell, v Lehigh)
Pioneer:
San Diego: 2-0 (Upcoming: @Presb, v Davidson, v Stetson, @Valpo)
Davidson: 2-1 (23-26 L @Elon; Upcoming: v Morehead St, @San Diego, @Presb, v Stetson)
SoCon:
VMI: 4-0 (Upcoming: @Wofford, v ETSU, v Citadel)
Chatty: 3-1 (10-13 L @WKy; Upcoming: v Mercer, @WCar, @Samford, @ETSU)
ETSU: 2-1 (13-17 L v Furman; Upcoming: v WCar, @VMI, @Mercer, v Chatty)
Southland:
Incarnate: 3-0 (Upcoming: @Nicholls, v NW St, v SHSU)
SHSU: 3-0 (Upcoming: @NW St, v McNeese, @Incarnate)
Nicholls: 3-1 (17-71 L @SHSU; Upcoming: v Incarnate, @McNeese, v SELA)
A few notes on the MVFC stuff… I added Mo St and SIU to the picture because Mo St still has a chance to win the Valley if they win out, and if a 2-win NDSU team deserves an At-Large, perhaps a 2-win SIU team would also deserve one, considering they have a convincing win against NDSU (They also have a blowout loss to SDSU, and it makes our SDSU game so much more interesting).
Looking at the rest of the country, I think Herder’s assessment of who will win each league is pretty spot on, with the exception of SDSU in the Valley, I see that as more of a coinflip than a certainty (and perhaps so does Sam, but he’s just making a pick).
With only 6 At-larges it will be interesting if they award more than one to any of the “Big 3” (MVFC, Big Sky, CAA) or if they give 1 each to Southland, SoCon, and OVC and the Big 3… Some of that will depend on if there are worthy contenders in those 3 or if there are better cases for 2 at-larges in 1 or 2 of the Big 3, but it’s going to be an interesting decision either way…
The Bisonville MASTERS Pool
Winners - 2020: Vet70 | 2021: ND Gooch | 2023: Strategery