2020 (COVID Style, Spring 2021) Sagarin Says

[Hammerhead]

Seven of the top ten teams actually playing this spring are in the MVFC. It will be interesting to see if that will change as teams beat each other.

Top 25 per Sagarin; weekend was so wonky, Sagarin doesn't even know how to process it! Suspect it will take a few weeks for the numbers to catch up.

88 South Dakota State AA = 66.17 1 1 63.85( 104) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.57 85 | 66.12 85 | 64.60 86 MISSOURI VALLEY
90 North Dakota State AA = 65.87 2 1 53.02( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.96 90 | 69.67 73 | 59.44 106 MISSOURI VALLEY
94 Northern Iowa AA = 63.95 1 1 58.05( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.15 93 | 63.67 96 | 63.29 93 MISSOURI VALLEY
97 James Madison AA = 63.32 2 0 24.72( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.94 102 | 65.05 90 | 61.81 99 COLONIAL
100 Weber State AA = 62.21 1 0 43.57( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.49 103 | 62.66 101 | 62.00 97 BIG SKY
101 North Dakota AA = 62.09 2 0 62.30( 111) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.86 98 | 58.26 116 | 69.10 69 MISSOURI VALLEY
106 Montana AA = 60.89 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.97 104 | 60.54 108 | 60.68 105 BIG SKY
109 Southern Illinois AA = 60.10 2 1 59.85( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.32 106 | 57.86 118 | 64.11 88 MISSOURI VALLEY
114 Princeton AA = 58.32 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.36 115 | 57.98 117 | 58.19 109 IVY LEAGUE
117 Villanova AA = 57.49 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.51 116 | 57.15 123 | 57.38 113 COLONIAL
119 Montana State AA = 57.40 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.42 117 | 57.06 124 | 57.30 114 BIG SKY
123 South Dakota AA = 56.20 1 0 56.28( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.31 131 | 57.30 122 | 57.19 115 MISSOURI VALLEY
126 Dartmouth AA = 55.52 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.51 126 | 55.18 127 | 55.47 118 IVY LEAGUE
127 Illinois State AA = 55.45 0 1 55.37( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.25 123 | 55.22 126 | 53.31 133 MISSOURI VALLEY
129 Eastern Washington AA = 54.84 0 1 53.36( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.73 124 | 54.60 133 | 52.55 139 BIG SKY
131 UC Davis AA = 54.78 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.76 129 | 54.45 135 | 54.75 119 BIG SKY
132 Towson AA = 54.54 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.52 130 | 54.21 136 | 54.52 121 COLONIAL
133 Kennesaw State AA = 54.18 1 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.15 132 | 53.85 139 | 54.17 123 BIG SOUTH
135 Furman AA = 53.88 1 1 35.81( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.70 134 | 54.64 132 | 51.72 143 SOUTHERN
136 Sacramento State AA = 53.35 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.31 138 | 53.02 142 | 53.37 132 BIG SKY
139 Nicholls State AA = 52.94 2 0 31.01( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.37 135 | 51.62 148 | 54.09 124 SOUTHLAND
140 Sam Houston State AA = 52.80 1 0 46.33( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.21 145 | 53.99 138 | 52.86 136 SOUTHLAND
142 Albany-NY AA = 52.57 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.51 141 | 52.24 146 | 52.61 138 COLONIAL
144 Idaho AA = 52.52 1 0 54.01( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.56 150 | 53.51 140 | 53.87 128 BIG SKY
145 Wofford AA = 52.11 1 1 44.87( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.05 142 | 52.96 143 | 49.43 154 SOUTHERN

[bisonaudit]

Not sure how good this is going to be without non conference games.

[THEsocalledfan]

Not sure how good this is going to be without non conference games.

100% agree.

[THEsocalledfan]

Updated top 25 per Sagarin:

83 South Dakota State AA = 67.05 2 1 58.64( 124) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.32 82 | 67.03 85 | 65.71 85 MISSOURI VALLEY
88 North Dakota State AA = 66.33 3 1 50.87( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.55 89 | 69.64 73 | 60.63 105 MISSOURI VALLEY
91 Northern Iowa AA = 65.43 2 1 58.42( 128) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.44 90 | 64.96 91 | 65.72 84 MISSOURI VALLEY
94 North Dakota AA = 63.99 3 0 60.66( 119) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.70 92 | 60.26 110 | 71.22 56 MISSOURI VALLEY
98 Weber State AA = 63.21 1 0 44.67( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.85 98 | 63.24 98 | 63.22 92 BIG SKY
102 Montana AA = 61.78 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.01 103 | 61.22 107 | 61.73 100 BIG SKY
109 James Madison AA = 60.04 3 0 31.31( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.73 121 | 62.88 100 | 58.26 113 COLONIAL
110 Southern Illinois AA = 59.66 3 1 57.99( 130) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.90 114 | 58.02 123 | 64.57 88 MISSOURI VALLEY
111 Eastern Washington AA = 59.65 1 1 49.88( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.89 105 | 59.70 113 | 58.23 114 BIG SKY
114 Princeton AA = 59.23 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.40 110 | 58.70 118 | 59.25 110 IVY LEAGUE
115 UC Davis AA = 59.08 1 0 54.67( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.33 120 | 58.65 119 | 61.07 104 BIG SKY
117 Illinois State AA = 58.41 0 2 61.69( 112) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.89 116 | 59.15 115 | 54.91 126 MISSOURI VALLEY
119 Montana State AA = 58.32 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.47 118 | 57.80 125 | 58.36 112 BIG SKY
120 South Dakota AA = 57.95 1 1 62.02( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.40 119 | 56.40 127 | 59.71 108 MISSOURI VALLEY
122 Villanova AA = 57.81 1 0 48.14( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.70 125 | 58.71 117 | 57.56 117 COLONIAL
123 Nicholls State AA = 57.70 3 0 37.96( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.45 108 | 54.50 140 | 60.29 107 SOUTHLAND
128 Dartmouth AA = 56.44 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.56 126 | 55.95 129 | 56.54 122 IVY LEAGUE
130 Delaware AA = 55.76 1 0 46.05( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.49 130 | 54.76 137 | 57.88 116 COLONIAL
132 Towson AA = 55.48 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.57 129 | 55.00 134 | 55.60 123 COLONIAL
133 Kennesaw State AA = 55.12 1 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.20 131 | 54.64 138 | 55.25 124 BIG SOUTH
136 Albany-NY AA = 54.46 1 0 50.62( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.29 140 | 55.01 133 | 55.07 125 COLONIAL
137 Furman AA = 54.43 2 1 39.97( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.76 139 | 55.28 131 | 53.26 137 SOUTHERN
138 Sacramento State AA = 54.30 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.36 136 | 53.83 143 | 54.45 129 BIG SKY
141 Idaho AA = 53.85 1 1 58.55( 127) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.45 135 | 52.46 149 | 54.86 127 BIG SKY
142 Sam Houston State AA = 53.31 1 0 46.95( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.82 144 | 54.43 141 | 53.35 136 SOUTHLAND

[THEsocalledfan]

Updated top 25 per Sagarin:

89 North Dakota State AA = 65.74 5 1 50.06( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.53 90 | 67.62 81 | 63.69 90 MISSOURI VALLEY
95 South Dakota State AA = 63.03 4 1 50.79( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.66 100 | 63.05 96 | 65.52 83 MISSOURI VALLEY
96 Weber State AA = 62.98 2 0 50.95( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.94 97 | 61.84 101 | 65.02 86 BIG SKY
109 Montana AA = 59.06 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.93 109 | 58.99 110 | 58.76 105 BIG SKY
110 UC Davis AA = 58.80 2 1 51.66( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.95 103 | 56.64 118 | 60.50 102 BIG SKY
117 Princeton AA = 56.46 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.32 117 | 56.36 120 | 56.27 114 IVY LEAGUE
118 Northern Iowa AA = 56.25 2 3 51.51( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.87 119 | 57.97 113 | 52.50 129 MISSOURI VALLEY
119 Eastern Washington AA = 56.10 2 1 46.09( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.64 121 | 56.55 119 | 55.42 116 BIG SKY
120 North Dakota AA = 55.87 4 1 52.51( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.60 122 | 54.81 124 | 58.19 107 MISSOURI VALLEY
123 Montana State AA = 55.53 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.39 123 | 55.42 122 | 55.38 117 BIG SKY
124 Delaware AA = 54.99 2 0 41.42( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.00 118 | 52.28 137 | 58.19 106 COLONIAL
126 Sam Houston State AA = 54.79 3 0 34.69( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.04 125 | 53.19 133 | 57.15 112 SOUTHLAND
129 Dartmouth AA = 53.63 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.48 128 | 53.48 131 | 53.56 123 IVY LEAGUE
130 Furman AA = 53.24 3 2 42.71( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.15 130 | 53.45 132 | 52.26 133 SOUTHERN
132 Towson AA = 52.64 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.49 132 | 52.49 136 | 52.61 128 COLONIAL
135 Jacksonville State AA = 51.53 7 1 41.55( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.30 142 | 50.35 145 | 56.23 115 OHIO VALLEY
136 Sacramento State AA = 51.44 0 0 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.28 135 | 51.27 140 | 51.46 135 BIG SKY
139 Illinois State AA = 51.01 1 3 51.97( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.42 140 | 53.11 134 | 46.75 154 MISSOURI VALLEY
140 Southern Illinois AA = 50.90 4 2 55.11( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.21 147 | 51.20 141 | 53.30 125 MISSOURI VALLEY
141 Idaho AA = 50.86 1 1 55.96( 128) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.27 136 | 49.49 147 | 52.29 132 BIG SKY
142 Central Arkansas AA = 50.79 5 4 50.79( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.31 141 | 51.13 143 | 50.41 139 SOUTHLAND
144 Villanova AA = 50.70 1 1 41.69( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.53 145 | 52.78 135 | 47.83 148 COLONIAL
145 Chattanooga AA = 49.89 3 1 50.50( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.63 143 | 48.02 152 | 53.91 121 SOUTHERN
147 James Madison AA = 49.31 3 0 20.75( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.44 161 | 55.12 123 | 45.71 158 COLONIAL
148 Wofford AA = 49.20 1 2 45.65( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.51 146 | 50.34 146 | 45.05 162 SOUTHERN

[TransAmBison]

I like the Sagarin ratings and overall I find it quite accurate...but I swear UNI could be 0-10 and still be ranked in the top 10 for Sagarin.

[Mr Pep Band]

I like the Sagarin ratings and overall I find it quite accurate...but I swear UNI could be 0-10 and still be ranked in the top 10 for Sagarin.

UNI seems to always play a tough schedule and play better than what Sagarin predicts. So even though their record isn't that good, they are good against the spread.

Plus, I don't mind one iota beating the crap out of a higher ranked UNI near every year after the slow start (and ugly games) we had against them when we came into the MVFC.

Personally, i consider UNI a better rival than UN_ since the D1 transition. Slightly behind the (Tax-Joose season) Bunnies.

[X-Factor]

UNI seems to always play a tough schedule and play better than what Sagarin predicts. So even though their record isn't that good, they are good against the spread.

Plus, I don't mind one iota beating the crap out of a higher ranked UNI near every year after the slow start (and ugly games) we had against them when we came into the MVFC.

Personally, i consider UNI a better rival than UN_ since the D1 transition. Slightly behind the (Tax-Joose season) Bunnies.

The year we put up 56 in their dump sure put a smile on my face. They are a great team to have in the conference though. They always seem to play tough

[Hammerhead]

Sagarin moved the Big Sky teams playing games up to the top and NDSU from #1 to #10

1 20 Eastern Washington AA 82.41
2 26 Weber State AA 80.28
3 27 UC Davis AA 79.99
4 68 Idaho AA 70.39
5 69 Idaho State AA 70.37
6 73 Southern Utah AA 68.83
7 80 Delaware AA 67.62
8 83 Northern Arizona AA 67.21
9 91 Sam Houston State AA 65.48
10 98 North Dakota State AA 64.41
11 103 South Dakota State AA 61.74
12 106 Villanova AA 61.18
13 110 Montana AA 59.66
14 111 Duquesne AA 59.28
15 114 Maine AA 59.05
16 116 Cal Poly-SLO AA 58.68
17 119 Albany-NY AA 58.16
18 122 Stony Brook AA 57.47
19 123 Nicholls State AA 57.25
20 125 Princeton AA 57.00
21 128 Rhode Island AA 56.08
22 129 Montana State AA 56.05
23 134 North Dakota AA 54.52
24 135 Sacred Heart AA 54.52
25 136 Northern Iowa AA 54.42

[heffray]

Sagarin moved the Big Sky teams playing games up to the top and NDSU from #1 to #10

1 20 Eastern Washington AA 82.41
2 26 Weber State AA 80.28
3 27 UC Davis AA 79.99
4 68 Idaho AA 70.39
5 69 Idaho State AA 70.37
6 73 Southern Utah AA 68.83
7 80 Delaware AA 67.62
8 83 Northern Arizona AA 67.21
9 91 Sam Houston State AA 65.48
10 98 North Dakota State AA 64.41
11 103 South Dakota State AA 61.74
12 106 Villanova AA 61.18
13 110 Montana AA 59.66
14 111 Duquesne AA 59.28
15 114 Maine AA 59.05
16 116 Cal Poly-SLO AA 58.68
17 119 Albany-NY AA 58.16
18 122 Stony Brook AA 57.47
19 123 Nicholls State AA 57.25
20 125 Princeton AA 57.00
21 128 Rhode Island AA 56.08
22 129 Montana State AA 56.05
23 134 North Dakota AA 54.52
24 135 Sacred Heart AA 54.52
25 136 Northern Iowa AA 54.42

I’m confused, what now?