What's the upside though from being a round 1 guy this year, to first off the board next? Is the $ really that much different? Downside is going to a shit team next year vs landing in a better place to develop this year. That plus the risk of injury just doesn't make it seem like much of a reason to wait other than the bragging rights of possibly being #1 overall.
Hate to say it as a fan that only got to see 1 season, but from a business and career development perspective, Trey seems to be making all the right moves.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying he should have waited another year. While first overall is a nice bit better paid than say 7th, they're both life changing money. 4 years, fully guaranteed. over 10M for #32 all the way to 36M for number 1. Those numbers might be a little lower this year with the revenue decline, but even still. If he goes in the top 7 he'll likely sign a fully guaranteed 20-25 million dollar contract. And did I mention it's fully guaranteed? Waiting an extra year to start making money, plus injury risk, and likely going to a worse team at 1 overall is a bad, bad idea.
49ers just made a massive trade to get the #3 draft pick. Early speculation is Trey Lance or Justin Fields. Interesting to note that Lance had his pro day whereas Fields has not. With the Falcons picking afterwards, I think we will likely see the 2nd top 5 pick for NDSU in 5 years.
Personally, I wanted Trey to fall to a team that wouldn’t have to sacrifice assets to get him, but can’t complain about SF too much. They will also likely be able to trade Jimmy G. for assets down the road.