2019 Sagarin Says

[heffray]

...I read ya... I read ya...

[X-Factor]

Yeah, but they played solid defense against WVU and play the best FCS conference! /purple

Defense?! Ha! Did you not see how they dominated a B12 in the trenches?!!

[bisonaudit]

NDSU regular season record:
12-0 93.7% +7.9%
11-1.. 6.3% -7.3%
10-2.. 0.1% -0.6%
9-3.... 0.00004%

opponent chance spread
v. W Ill.. 99.9% -43.5 -0.0% +2.0
v. USD.. 98.9% -31.5 +0.7% -3.0
@ S Ill.. 94.8% -22.0 +1.3% -1.5

Summary of Methodology: Calculating the win percentages assumes that game results are normally distributed around the Sagarin spread with a standard deviation of approximately 14 points. The Sagarin spread is simply the difference between the teams Sagarin rating +/- Sagarin's home field factor. Additionally, I make a further adjustment that is approximately the same size as the home field factor for teams coming off a bye week.

Sagarin's take on seeds by conference:
Mo Valley: 3 (NDSU 1, SDSU 3, UNI 6) -1 from last week (SDSU 2, UNI 7, Ill St 8)
Big Sky: 4 (Weber 4, Mont 5, Sac St 7, EWU 8) +1 from last week (Mont 4, Sac St 5, Weber 6, EWU)
Colonial: 1 (JMU 2) no change from last week (JMU 3)

Sagarin's take on AT LARGE playoff spots by conference [(at large teams not listed above) autobid not listed above]:
Big Sky: 5 (Mt St, UCD) changes: None
Mo Valley: 5 (Ill St, YSU, S Ill) changes: None
Colonial: 3 (Villanova, Towson, UNH), changes: Elon out, UNH in
Southern: 1 (Wofford) Furman

Last 4 in:
Mo Valley (S Ill)
Mo Valley (YSU)
Colonial (UNH)
Southern (Wofford)

First 4 out:
Colonial (Elon)
Southland (SHSU)
Colonial (Maine)
Big Sky (Idaho)

FYI: just assuming at this point that the team with the top rating in each conference will win the autobid.

[Mr Pep Band]

NDSU regular season record:
12-0 93.7% +7.9%
11-1.. 6.3% -7.3%
10-2.. 0.1% -0.6%
9-3.... 0.00004%

At the beginning of the season, who would've thought this would be the case 9 games in?!?!

I'll tell ya, NOBODY.

[Bison 4 Life]

At the beginning of the season, who would've thought this would be the case 9 games in?!?!

I'll tell ya, NOBODY.

I keep trying to tell people who don't pay as much attention as us how wild this is.

[heffray]

At the beginning of the season, who would've thought this would be the case 9 games in?!?!

I'll tell ya, NOBODY.

I'll eat crow on that. I was not convinced we'd go undefeated... thought 2-3 losses was definitely possible. Happily surprised.

[Professor Chaos]

At the beginning of the season, who would've thought this would be the case 9 games in?!?!

I'll tell ya, NOBODY.

This guy might've but he's kind of senile...

[Mr Pep Band]

I'll eat crow on that. I was not convinced we'd go undefeated... thought 2-3 losses was definitely possible. Happily surprised.

I was in the same boat. Before the season started, i thought we would lose to SDSU, UNI, Youngstown, and possibly Davis and ISUr. Somewhere between 2 and 4 losses. We would then get a low seed and see if we can push for Frisco again.

Props to the coaches and team to over-perform and dominate the division again!

The March is Still On.... TO FRISCO!

[Mr Pep Band]

This guy might've but he's kind of senile...

Who?!? KIRK!??!?

[EC8CH]

At the beginning of the season, who would've thought this would be the case 9 games in?!?!

I'll tell ya, NOBODY.

http://www.bisonville.com/forum/show...ed#post1359405

UnDeFeatEd!

#TheyH8UsCauseThey8ntUs