2019 Sagarin Says

[Hammerhead]

Interesting tidbit from Sagarin -- South Dakota is ranked #26 in the FCS Sagarin ratings this week. Only three teams are less than 14-point underdogs vs NDSU on a neutral field.

[THEsocalledfan]

Top 25 per Sagarin heading into the final game:

35 North Dakota State AA = 76.81 11 0 47.29( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.89 42 | 77.40 34 | 77.84 34 MISSOURI VALLEY
60 James Madison AA = 70.92 10 1 47.33( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.31 64 | 69.38 67 | 72.75 51 COLONIAL
79 South Dakota State AA = 66.07 8 3 48.70( 153) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.98 83 | 66.22 82 | 65.58 80 MISSOURI VALLEY
81 Montana AA = 65.86 9 2 52.01( 140) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.40 87 | 63.07 97 | 70.06 61 BIG SKY
101 Weber State AA = 61.53 8 3 53.87( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.18 112 | 60.71 102 | 65.50 82 BIG SKY
102 Sacramento State AA = 61.02 8 3 55.69( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.35 104 | 57.25 116 | 65.27 84 BIG SKY
110 Northern Iowa AA = 58.34 7 4 53.34( 135) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.70 122 | 59.66 109 | 58.24 110 MISSOURI VALLEY
112 Dartmouth AA = 57.92 8 1 37.47( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.86 119 | 57.26 115 | 59.22 105 IVY LEAGUE
118 Montana State AA = 57.29 8 3 46.53( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.14 125 | 56.12 124 | 59.18 106 BIG SKY
120 Illinois State AA = 57.12 8 3 47.62( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.47 131 | 58.20 113 | 59.28 104 MISSOURI VALLEY
121 Towson AA = 56.68 7 4 48.84( 152) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.83 120 | 55.88 125 | 56.90 121 COLONIAL
122 Eastern Washington AA = 56.68 6 5 50.24( 144) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.66 113 | 56.33 121 | 55.61 127 BIG SKY
124 Wofford AA = 55.92 7 3 40.43( 205) 0 1 | 0 1 | 56.70 123 | 54.53 127 | 56.09 123 SOUTHERN
127 Yale AA = 55.25 8 1 40.49( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.26 140 | 54.21 129 | 59.89 102 IVY LEAGUE
129 Southern Illinois AA = 54.75 7 4 48.45( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.17 132 | 52.73 135 | 57.90 115 MISSOURI VALLEY
131 Villanova AA = 54.48 8 3 44.36( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.64 130 | 53.75 131 | 55.60 128 COLONIAL
133 SE Louisiana AA = 53.83 7 3 41.71( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.16 136 | 50.59 139 | 58.28 109 SOUTHLAND
135 Furman AA = 53.65 7 4 43.45( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.49 124 | 53.27 133 | 50.72 143 SOUTHERN
136 UC Davis AA = 53.23 5 6 53.20( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.23 129 | 53.28 132 | 51.73 142 BIG SKY
137 Maine AA = 52.85 6 5 48.92( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.88 141 | 51.50 138 | 55.71 125 COLONIAL
139 Monmouth-NJ AA = 51.96 9 2 37.83( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.32 156 | 50.38 143 | 57.60 117 BIG SOUTH
140 Austin Peay AA = 50.88 8 3 40.04( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.31 149 | 48.11 155 | 55.64 126 OHIO VALLEY
141 Kennesaw State AA = 50.74 9 2 35.45( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.60 137 | 50.58 140 | 49.59 149 BIG SOUTH
142 SE Missouri State AA = 50.67 8 3 46.44( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.62 160 | 50.46 142 | 54.35 133 OHIO VALLEY
143 Princeton AA = 50.49 7 2 36.78( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.32 139 | 51.90 137 | 47.76 160 IVY LEAGUE

[SoCalBison]

Bison slip 3 spots to 38 to end the regular season. One of only 4 teams to go undefeated in Division I, the Bison are the only team to win 12 games this season, i.e., the winningest team in all of D-I in 2019.

[MNLonghorn10]

an absolutely disgustin 49th in the predictors and only 3 pts better than JMU

[89MTBISON]

an absolutely disgustin 49th in the predictors and only 3 pts better than JMU

Better start practicing those FGs.

[LongLostAlum]

Bison slip 3 spots to 38 to end the regular season. One of only 4 teams to go undefeated in Division I, the Bison are the only team to win 12 games this season, i.e., the winningest team in all of D-I in 2019.

That's what happens when you have a schedule rank of 158. We're lucky to be at 38 considering the overall caliber of teams we played this year.

[cbline]

That's what happens when you have a schedule rank of 158. We're lucky to be at 38 considering the overall caliber of teams we played this year.

Yes, I blame this on the F'Hawkers.

[tony]

That's what happens when you have a schedule rank of 158. We're lucky to be at 38 considering the overall caliber of teams we played this year.

Yeah, luckily, NDSU is in the FCS where these things get settled on the field. Doesn't look the NDSU side of the bracket has a lot of Sagarin clout. Then again, almost nobody in the FCS is better than 100. It's NDSU and JMU and, really, nobody else... SDSU is 89 but that's a healthier SDSU.

Nicholls State 143
UND 147
Central Ark 150
SEMO 151
Illinois State 138
Montana State 100
SUNY Albany 145
Sacramento State 97
<some other teams here>

[bisonaudit]

Playoff picture:

Sagarin (Seed) Team........... Rd1... Rd2... Qtr..... Semi... Final
76.49 (1) North Dakota State......... 98.7% 96.6% 86.5% 62.0%
51.27 Nicholls State............. 57.8% 0.8%.. 0.4%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%
50.93 North Dakota............. 42.2% 0.5%... 0.2%.. 0.0%.. 0.0%

50.43 (8) Central Arkansas............. 61.0%. 1.6%.. 0.3%.. 0.0%
50.43 SE Missouri State....... 50.0% 17.9%. 0.5%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%
52.75 Illinois State.............. 50.0% 21.2%. 0.7%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%


61.96 (5) Montana State................ 88.0% 41.5%.. 5.4%. 1.8%
51.12 Albany-NY.................. 58.0% 7.1%.. 1.5%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%
50.72 Central Connecticut..... 42.0% 4.9%.. 0.9%.. 0.0%.. 0.0%

62.40 (4) Sacramento State........... 86.6% 53.1%.. 7.3%.. 2.5%
51.25 Austin Peay................ 50.7% 6.0%.. 1.2%.. 0.0%.. 0.0%
53.35 Furman...................... 49.3% 7.4%.. 1.9%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%



62.49 (3) Weber State................... 81.4% 48.7% 11.6%.. 2.7%
56.75 Wofford.................... 73.0% 15.7%.. 5.2%.. 0.7%.. 0.1%
50.82 Kennesaw State.......... 27.0% 3.0%.. 0.6%.. 0.0%.. 0.0%

62.67 (6) Montana........................ 83.0% 41.1% 11.6%.. 2.4%
53.48 SE Louisiana.............. 49.9% 7.4%... 1.7%. 0.2%.. 0.0%
55.85 Villanova................... 50.1% 9.6%... 2.8%. 0.4%.. 0.0%


63.66 (7) South Dakota State......... 80.4% 19.4%. 9.6%.. 2.2%
58.38 Northern Iowa........... 81.6% 18.3%.. 2.6%. 0.9%.. 0.1%
48.54 San Diego.................. 18.4% 1.3%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%.. 0.0%

71.69 (2) James Madison............... 96.9% 77.4% 62.9% 26.2%
52.39 Monmouth-NJ............. 76.4% 2.9%.. 0.5%.. 0.1%.. 0.0%
45.00 Holy Cross................. 23.6% 0.2%... 0.0%.. 0.0%. 0.0%

[NDSU92]

Yeah, luckily, NDSU is in the FCS where these things get settled on the field. Doesn't look the NDSU side of the bracket has a lot of Sagarin clout. Then again, almost nobody in the FCS is better than 100. It's NDSU and JMU and, really, nobody else... SDSU is 89 but that's a healthier SDSU.

Nicholls State 143
UND 147
Central Ark 150
SEMO 151
Illinois State 138
Montana State 100
SUNY Albany 145
Sacramento State 97
<some other teams here>

This year is a good case for just a championship game with no tournament