2019 Sagarin Says

[heffray]

Yep, I already sold all my tickets. Bisonville has me convinced this team is straight shit.

Lol... come on, now... Not at all what I'm saying.

[Bison 4 Life]

Lol... come on, now... Not at all what I'm saying.

I said Bisonville.

[heffray]

i said bisonville.

i am bisonville.

[DakotaOkie]

i am bisonville.

you are Groot

[Hammersmith]

you are Groot

I'ma Mario

[bisonaudit]

Someone at JMU posted this. If someone know what SP+ is, which is what they referred, I'm not familiar.

Bill Connelly is the guy behind this approach. He was at football outsiders before ESPN. A version of this model has been around for at least six years, though not applied to FCS before this season from what I can see. It’s pretty sophisticated stuff. Uses play by play data to get at offensive and defensive efficiency and explosiveness. He’s got the FCS version tagged as “beta” so I wonder if they’ve got all of that detail available to make the full model go or if he’s had to adjust his approach to cope with less information. Or he could just be tinkering with it again. I’m not behind the espn paywall, but his published stuff from before regarding SP+ he’s pretty transparent about his process of retooling and experimenting with the model over time.

[Bison 4 Life]

Bill Connelly is the guy behind this approach. He was at football outsiders before ESPN. A version of this model has been around for at least six years, though not applied to FCS before this season from what I can see. It’s pretty sophisticated stuff. Uses play by play data to get at offensive and defensive efficiency and explosiveness. He’s got the FCS version tagged as “beta” so I wonder if they’ve got all of that detail available to make the full model go or if he’s had to adjust his approach to cope with less information. Or he could just be tinkering with it again. I’m not behind the espn paywall, but his published stuff from before regarding SP+ he’s pretty transparent about his process of retooling and experimenting with the model over time.

Considering you require a lot of data from places that are not readily available, it would seem the model has some holes.

[Professor Chaos]

5dimes lines pretty close to Sagarin.

NDSU -23
Montana St -7
Weber St -1
JMU -13.5

[heffray]

I'ma Mario

Itsa me!!!

[Mr Meaty]

5dimes lines pretty close to Sagarin.

NDSU -23
Montana St -7
Weber St -1
JMU -13.5

I saw 5 dimes at NDSU -20.5.. Too much money being bet on Ill St.