2019 Sagarin Says

[TransAmBison]

I can see that happening (it’s happened before—*cough* 10 turnovers *ahem*)... I’m only saying that I think they have the best chance out of anyone on that side of the bracket to beat the Douches (which, I guess, might not be saying a whole lot)...

I think Weber can give them a run. That's about it as I see it.

[Bison 4 Life]

JMU's resume is a little thin. It's going to be interesting when they have to play some tougher teams in the playoffs. They don't necessarily blow everyone out there.

[heffray]

JMU's resume is a little thin. It's going to be interesting when they have to play some tougher teams in the playoffs. They don't necessarily blow everyone out there.

I agree with this. Even Monmouth could put up some points.

[heffray]

I think Weber can give them a run. That's about it as I see it.

Full disclosure, I have NDSU v Weber in Frisco on my bracket.

[Bison 4 Life]

Full disclosure, I have NDSU v Weber in Frisco on my bracket.

Weber took them to the wall in Harrisonburg 2 years ago and that's with Bryan Schor and Jimmy Moreland on either side of the ball and Mike Houston on the sideline.

[THEsocalledfan]

So, figured I'd post Sagarin for the remaining 16 teams. Observations:

1. LOL CAA, only 2 teams left. MVFC and Big Sky clearly the best conferences this year.
2. Again, only team where NDSU not double digit favored is JMU.
3. Will be some great games this weekend. Illinois St. is such a mystery....can you win by simply giving Robinson the ball 41 times?

38 North Dakota State AA = 76.39 12 0 48.64( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.40 49 | 76.89 35 | 77.49 36 MISSOURI VALLEY
56 James Madison AA = 71.60 11 1 47.14( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.18 58 | 70.21 64 | 72.98 46 COLONIAL
88 South Dakota State AA = 63.60 8 4 49.61( 154) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.62 85 | 64.26 88 | 61.47 101 MISSOURI VALLEY
92 Montana AA = 62.66 9 3 54.03( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 63.67 88 | 61.67 98 | 62.16 95 BIG SKY
94 Weber State AA = 62.49 9 3 52.82( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.66 106 | 61.59 101 | 65.90 81 BIG SKY
96 Sacramento State AA = 62.17 9 3 55.60( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.47 100 | 58.78 113 | 65.96 80 BIG SKY
97 Montana State AA = 61.71 9 3 47.65( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.54 113 | 59.03 112 | 67.50 74 BIG SKY
110 Northern Iowa AA = 59.09 9 4 50.49( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.56 119 | 59.87 107 | 59.33 108 MISSOURI VALLEY
130 Illinois State AA = 54.85 9 4 48.11( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.86 140 | 56.40 122 | 55.77 129 MISSOURI VALLEY
133 SE Louisiana AA = 54.28 8 4 44.15( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.88 137 | 51.55 142 | 57.89 116 SOUTHLAND
135 Kennesaw State AA = 53.44 11 2 35.85( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.03 135 | 52.65 136 | 54.12 135 BIG SOUTH
137 Monmouth-NJ AA = 53.43 11 2 37.15( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.97 156 | 51.83 139 | 58.89 110 BIG SOUTH
139 Albany-NY AA = 53.33 9 4 46.87( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.89 143 | 50.97 144 | 57.57 121 COLONIAL
140 Nicholls State AA = 53.20 9 4 45.59( 172) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.84 144 | 51.99 138 | 56.22 126 SOUTHLAND
141 Austin Peay AA = 53.04 10 3 39.38( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.66 146 | 50.24 148 | 57.63 120 OHIO VALLEY
148 Central Arkansas AA = 50.81 9 3 47.76( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.89 151 | 51.79 140 | 50.20 151 SOUTHLAND

[heffray]

So, figured I'd post Sagarin for the remaining 16 teams. Observations:

1. LOL CAA, only 2 teams left. MVFC and Big Sky clearly the best conferences this year.
2. Again, only team where NDSU not double digit favored is JMU.
3. Will be some great games this weekend. Illinois St. is such a mystery....can you win by simply giving Robinson the ball 41 times?

38 North Dakota State AA = 76.39 12 0 48.64( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.40 49 | 76.89 35 | 77.49 36 MISSOURI VALLEY
56 James Madison AA = 71.60 11 1 47.14( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.18 58 | 70.21 64 | 72.98 46 COLONIAL
88 South Dakota State AA = 63.60 8 4 49.61( 154) 0 0 | 0 1 | 64.62 85 | 64.26 88 | 61.47 101 MISSOURI VALLEY
92 Montana AA = 62.66 9 3 54.03( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 63.67 88 | 61.67 98 | 62.16 95 BIG SKY
94 Weber State AA = 62.49 9 3 52.82( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.66 106 | 61.59 101 | 65.90 81 BIG SKY
96 Sacramento State AA = 62.17 9 3 55.60( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.47 100 | 58.78 113 | 65.96 80 BIG SKY
97 Montana State AA = 61.71 9 3 47.65( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.54 113 | 59.03 112 | 67.50 74 BIG SKY
110 Northern Iowa AA = 59.09 9 4 50.49( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.56 119 | 59.87 107 | 59.33 108 MISSOURI VALLEY
130 Illinois State AA = 54.85 9 4 48.11( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.86 140 | 56.40 122 | 55.77 129 MISSOURI VALLEY
133 SE Louisiana AA = 54.28 8 4 44.15( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.88 137 | 51.55 142 | 57.89 116 SOUTHLAND
135 Kennesaw State AA = 53.44 11 2 35.85( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.03 135 | 52.65 136 | 54.12 135 BIG SOUTH
137 Monmouth-NJ AA = 53.43 11 2 37.15( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.97 156 | 51.83 139 | 58.89 110 BIG SOUTH
139 Albany-NY AA = 53.33 9 4 46.87( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.89 143 | 50.97 144 | 57.57 121 COLONIAL
140 Nicholls State AA = 53.20 9 4 45.59( 172) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.84 144 | 51.99 138 | 56.22 126 SOUTHLAND
141 Austin Peay AA = 53.04 10 3 39.38( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.66 146 | 50.24 148 | 57.63 120 OHIO VALLEY
148 Central Arkansas AA = 50.81 9 3 47.76( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.89 151 | 51.79 140 | 50.20 151 SOUTHLAND

Lol at Central Arkansas... 8 seed...

[bruinbison]

If SDSU would be at -7 with the additional 3 points for being at home, UNI looks to be a tempting bet for me. I don't have that much faith in the Jacks.

UNI WR Isaiah Weston re-injured (injured?) during game.
Left game in the 3rd quarter.
From the WCF Journal:

“I have heard three different stories from just walking through the lockerroom,” Farley said when asked if Weston re-aggravated his previous injury or suffered a new one. “I couldn’t tell you for sure. He had ice on his ribs. He had ice on his foot and he was on crutches.

[td577]

3. Illinois St. is such a mystery....can you win by simply giving Robinson the ball 41 times?

I think this is the strategy that would work best against the Bison, so you live by it and hope it gets you to a game with NDSU. Not only Robinson 41 times but I would be committed to very few substitutions. I would go no-huddle, hurry up to try to keep the defense from substituting, but wouldn't snap the ball until the play clock is down to 1 or 2. Slow the game down to a screeching halt and take my chances I would get a few first downs and a couple of scoring drives. Keep the game within 2 scores going into the fourth quarter and a wrong bounce here and there for the Bison can result in a strange outcome.

That would be how I would play it and I would be using each game before then to perfect this strategy. Nobody wins a 60 minute game with the Bison so you do everything you can to make it a 15-minute game.

[bisonaudit]

I think this is the strategy that would work best against the Bison, so you live by it and hope it gets you to a game with NDSU. Not only Robinson 41 times but I would be committed to very few substitutions. I would go no-huddle, hurry up to try to keep the defense from substituting, but wouldn't snap the ball until the play clock is down to 1 or 2. Slow the game down to a screeching halt and take my chances I would get a few first downs and a couple of scoring drives. Keep the game within 2 scores going into the fourth quarter and a wrong bounce here and there for the Bison can result in a strange outcome.

That would be how I would play it and I would be using each game before then to perfect this strategy. Nobody wins a 60 minute game with the Bison so you do everything you can to make it a 15-minute game.

I agree. 4 corners football. Shorten the game, increase variance and take your chances from there.