NDSU regular season record:
12-0 55.8% +14.7%
11-1 36.9%... -4.7%
10-2. 6.8%... -7.9%
9-3... 0.5%... -1.9%
8-4... 0.02%.. -0.2%
7-5... 0.0002%
6-6... 0.000001%
5-7... 0.0000000003%
opponent chance spread
v. UNI... 92.5% -19.5 +4.0% -3.0
v. Mo St 99.8% -39.0 +0.1% -2.0
@ SDSU 70.4%. -7.0. +3.5% -1.0
@ YSU.. 91.2% -18.5 +5.7% -4.0
v. W Ill. 99.9%. -43.0 +0.3% -6.5
v. USD.. 97.7% -27.0 +0.4% -0.5
v. S Ill.. 96.5% -24.5 +1.8% -2.5
Summary of Methodology: Calculating the win percentages assumes that game results are normally distributed around the Sagarin spread with a standard deviation of approximately 14 points. The Sagarin spread is simply the difference between the teams Sagarin rating +/- Sagarin's home field factor. Additionally, I make a further adjustment that is approximately the same size as the home field factor for teams coming off a bye week.
Sagarin's take on seeds by conference:
Mo Valley: 3 (NDSU 1, SDSU 2, UNI 5) -1 from last week (YSU 7)
Big Sky: 2 (Montana 4, Weber 6) -1 from last week (EWU 8)
Colonial: 2 (JMU 3, Villanova 8) +1 from last week (Villanova)
Southern: 1 (Furman 7) +1 from last week
Sagarin's take on AT LARGE playoff spots by conference [(at large teams not listed above) autobid not listed above]:
Big Sky: 6 (Mt St, UCD, Sac St, EWU, UND), changes: UND in Id St out
Mo Valley: 5 (YSU, Ill St, USD)
Colonial: 2 (Towson)
Southland: 1 (SHSU) Nicholls, changes: Nicholls in C Ark out
Last 4 in:
Mo Valley (Ill St)
Southland (SHSU)
Mo Valley (USD)
Big Sky (UND)
First 4 out:
Colonial (Delaware)
Colonial (Stony Brook)
Southern (Wofford)
Big Sky (Id St)
I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud
We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie
Top 25 per Sagarin; NDSU made a move back toward toward the top 30 of all college football. Mo Valley looking good!
33 North Dakota State AA = 77.38 5 0 49.27( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.40 35 | 77.95 32 | 77.13 36 MISSOURI VALLEY
76 South Dakota State AA = 67.55 4 1 40.06( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.05 80 | 67.96 73 | 66.42 80 MISSOURI VALLEY
82 James Madison AA = 66.12 5 1 45.28( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.87 85 | 66.05 82 | 66.98 77 COLONIAL
84 Montana AA = 65.65 5 1 51.29( 156) 0 1 | 0 1 | 66.08 84 | 64.68 85 | 69.84 65 BIG SKY
98 Northern Iowa AA = 60.45 3 2 54.98( 138) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.90 101 | 60.85 97 | 59.49 106 MISSOURI VALLEY
107 Weber State AA = 58.73 3 2 56.57( 124) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.15 110 | 58.67 110 | 60.81 97 BIG SKY
109 Furman AA = 58.45 4 2 45.81( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.31 103 | 57.49 117 | 60.58 98 SOUTHERN
113 Princeton AA = 58.22 3 0 27.49( 254) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.92 112 | 58.27 113 | 58.49 109 IVY LEAGUE
115 Villanova AA = 57.69 6 0 41.07( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.12 123 | 57.94 115 | 61.68 93 COLONIAL
122 Youngstown State AA = 56.43 4 1 39.29( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.25 121 | 56.45 122 | 56.50 125 MISSOURI VALLEY
123 Dartmouth AA = 56.33 3 0 33.12( 249) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.73 125 | 56.44 123 | 57.41 118 IVY LEAGUE
126 Towson AA = 55.74 3 2 50.52( 158) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.88 129 | 56.16 125 | 55.86 127 COLONIAL
127 Montana State AA = 55.49 5 1 45.15( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.18 135 | 56.35 124 | 58.46 110 BIG SKY
128 UC Davis AA = 55.40 2 4 59.19( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.00 118 | 54.67 130 | 53.20 133 BIG SKY
129 Kennesaw State AA = 55.36 4 1 44.28( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.37 120 | 54.47 131 | 56.40 126 BIG SOUTH
130 Nicholls State AA = 55.26 3 2 51.98( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.42 131 | 55.42 128 | 56.90 121 SOUTHLAND
132 Sacramento State AA = 54.70 3 2 61.20( 100) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.27 109 | 51.61 143 | 59.61 104 BIG SKY
134 Eastern Washington AA = 53.71 2 4 55.59( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.50 130 | 53.56 135 | 51.00 145 BIG SKY
135 Illinois State AA = 53.66 3 2 45.38( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.11 144 | 55.33 129 | 52.36 137 MISSOURI VALLEY
137 Sam Houston State AA = 53.16 4 2 46.69( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.93 132 | 52.40 140 | 54.28 130 SOUTHLAND
138 South Dakota AA = 52.82 2 3 49.79( 162) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.68 137 | 52.85 138 | 52.60 135 MISSOURI VALLEY
140 Central Arkansas AA = 52.04 3 2 55.71( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.47 147 | 52.94 137 | 51.92 141 SOUTHLAND
142 Yale AA = 51.95 3 0 35.23( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.26 149 | 52.70 139 | 53.15 134 IVY LEAGUE
144 North Dakota AA = 51.72 3 2 53.52( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.27 140 | 51.25 145 | 51.92 140 BIG SKY
145 Delaware AA = 51.52 3 2 49.42( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.92 151 | 52.34 141 | 51.89 142 COLONIAL
"Sometimes a concept is baffling not because it is profound but because it is wrong" E. O. Wilson
"I'm not crazy my mother had me tested". Sheldon Cooper
My boss hates it when I shorten his name to Dick, mainly because his name is Steven.
I have the honor to be Your Obedient Servant - B.Aud
We all live in stories... It seems to me that a definition of any living vibrant society is that you constantly question those stories... The argument itself is freedom. It's not that you come to a conclusion about it. Through that argument you change your mind sometimes... That's how societies grow. When you can't retell for yourself the stories of your life then you live in a prison... Somebody else controls the story. - S. Rushdie
1. The FCS was the Best option for NDSU for a very long time.
2. As a general rule- the FCS sucks at football and has proven that is not committed to football at all.
3. It's time to go FBS
#ColonialSpeed
#ColonialPower
#ColonialQualityLosses
#ColonialWonTheGameInTheTrenches
#JustMailTheFuckinTrophyToJMUAlready
1. The FCS was the Best option for NDSU for a very long time.
2. As a general rule- the FCS sucks at football and has proven that is not committed to football at all.
3. It's time to go FBS
Can someone explain why SDSU not getting more love in the polls? To me, they should be #2 at this point. I also think Montana should be #3 in the polls.....
Second Stanza for The Yellow and The Green-
Seems they need to pump up JMU to compensate form something. NDSU doesn't need to, we know we're good.Here in autumn throng the nations,
Just to gather in the spoil,
Throng on freight-cars from the cities,
Some to feast and some to toil,
Then the yellow grain flows eastward
And the yellow gold flows back;
Barren cities boast their plenty
And the prairies know no lack.
JMU- "We're great, we play great teams, we won a Natty two years ago.......etc etc etc"
NDSU- stands in front of our 15 national championship trophies whilst a mic lays on the ground. Didn't do a mic drop, never even picked it up!
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