Quote Originally Posted by ndsubison1 View Post
Going to attempt to break it down for the 16s. Typically the SWAC/MEAC/MAAC are 16s. Cant always look at record. Penn from IVY was a 16 last year with 8 losses.

Summit: NDSU 18-15.
OOC L: NMSU, UCSB, Gonzaga, Iowa St,
OOC W: No quality wins

Big South: Gardner- Webb 23-11
OOC L: VCU, VA Tech, Furman,
OOC W: GA Tech, Wake Forest

MAAC: Iona 17-15
OOC L: Providence, VCU, New Mexico, Yale
OOC W: No quality

NEC: Farleigh Dickinson 20-13
OOC L: Rutgers, Providence, S. Florida
OOC W: No quality

America East: Hope Binghamton or Hartford win.
Big West: Hope a lower seed wins
Ivy: Maybe Penn? has 11 losses.
MEAC: We will likely be ahead of any champion.
Patriot: Colgate. Likely ahead of us.
Southland: Hope for a lower seed. Need SHSU to lose.
SWAC: We will likely be ahead of any champion.
WAC: Hope a lower seed wins.

16: MEAC
SWAC
FDU
NDSU
Iona
Gardner Webb

Bold are locked into play-in. We may only need one more big upset,
Politics can come into play also when they decide whether both the MEAC and SWAC (the two HBCUs) will be relegated to Dayton. Last year they did it (they actually played each other) but it seems like most years either the MEAC or SWAC champ snags a 16 seed with a bye when by almost every metric they're worse than one or more of the 16s playing in Dayton.

I also think Iona would be in Dayton before NDSU. They're ranked 20 spots below NDSU in the RPI, overall SOS is 50 spots worse, and non-conference SOS is over 100 spots worse. Iona also has a whopping 8 quadrant 4 losses (NDSU has 4).

NDSU's profile: http://warrennolan.com/basketball/20...h-Dakota-State
Iona's profile: http://warrennolan.com/basketball/2019/schedule/Iona