Originally Posted by
CoachFSCB
Thanks for doing this research on playoff attendance. Your position seems to be that there is quite an alarming downward trend, but I think it’s hard to state firmly that attendance at Bison playoff games is firmly trending lower, and here’s why:
2017 did see fewer fans than 2016, but attendance at the 2016 playoff games were ALL higher than the corresponding games in 2014 and 2015. In fact, we could have had a thread at the end of 2016 stating that Bison playoff attendance was trending upward.
According to the data, the second round games have traditionally been about on par with attendance at the semi-final round games with a slight dip in attendance in the middle for the quarter-final games:
2013-2017 Bison attendance at Fargodome
Second round games: 91,172 total – average of 18,234 per game
Quarter-final round: 89,602 total – average of 17,920 per game
Semi-final round: 91,385 total – average of 18,277 per game
Last year, attendance for the second- and semi-final round games was not much different from the previous three years.
Yes, the attendance for the second round playoff game last year was 1.3% lower than 2016, but remember that the 2016 game trailed only 2013 for the highest second round attendance. If you compare last year to 2014, the decline was a miniscule quarter of a percent, and that was with San Diego as an opponent for the second straight year, which might have kept some fans away.
Last year’s semi-final against Sam Houston State drew only THREE people less than the year before, and that 2016 semi-final against James Madison had more folks attend than either of the 2014 or 2015 semi-final games.
Granted, there was a 7% drop off in the quarterfinals last year compared to the previous year, but that 2016 contest against South Dakota State drew the highest attendance of any quarter-final game, so a drop off from that level could have been expected. Will we have another reduction this year? I think it is quite possible, simply because from year to year, attendance can be greatly influenced by who the opponent is. With Colgate as the opponent, I suspect we may have another somewhat sparse quarter-final attendance like last year. If James Madison would have been coming to the dome on Saturday, I think there would have been much more excitement and buzz and we may have been looking at a crowd that, combined with a normal-sized semi-final crowd December 15, might have put the Bison on track to even surpass last year’s playoff total.
The playoff games last year were down 2.8% from 2016, which seems like a lot, but keep in mind that the 2014 playoff games were down 2.2% from 2013 but rebounded to be higher again in both 2015 and 2016.
Is attendance at Bison playoff games trending downward overall? Maybe, but I think it is too soon to say for sure. It is apparent that attendance is volatile and varies from year to year – lower in 2014, higher in 2015 & 2016, and lower in 2017. Considering that the best year for playoff attendance, 2013, is only two thousand fans more than the worse year, 2017, and considering that the price of tickets has risen quite a bit over that time, I’d say that the Bison are continuing to draw well in the post-season. In my opinion, there is just not enough evidence yet to say for certain that playoff attendance is on an overall downward trajectory.