2018 Sagarin Says

[EC8CH]

I suspect many FBS teams could say the same thing about NDSU...

Well, not 6 of them.

[Vet70]

Well, not 6 of them.

Maybe even 8 FBS teams.

[SDbison]

I suspect many FBS teams could say the same thing about NDSU...

If there are FBS teams that feel that way then maybe they should man up and schedule NDSU for a game.

[Vet70]

If there are FBS teams that feel that way then maybe they should man up and schedule NDSU for a game.

Now that is a very good point.

[THEsocalledfan]

Top 25 per Sagarin (Yes, I do get a kick out of NDSU being higher than Kentucky with all the Kentucky chatter....)

22 North Dakota State AA = 81.46 8 0 0 56.58( 126) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 81.12 23 | 82.28 23 | 83.34 18
65 James Madison AA = 70.45 6 2 0 45.96( 178) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 70.89 63 | 68.09 78 | 66.90 80
68 South Dakota State AA = 70.05 5 2 0 54.22( 136) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 70.24 67 | 69.17 75 | 68.15 74
82 Illinois State AA = 66.76 5 3 0 56.12( 128) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 67.45 78 | 63.82 89 | 61.66 101
86 Northern Iowa AA = 65.23 4 4 0 59.73( 105) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 65.50 86 | 64.41 86 | 62.69 95
88 Princeton AA = 64.65 7 0 0 31.89( 240) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 64.58 90 | 61.14 102 | 64.47 91
103 UC Davis AA = 61.88 7 1 0 49.10( 160) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 61.18 104 | 61.34 100 | 66.45 83
104 Kennesaw State AA = 61.69 7 1 0 34.59( 225) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 61.99 102 | 58.87 111 | 58.92 112
109 Weber State AA = 58.78 6 2 0 51.88( 148) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 57.87 116 | 60.77 105 | 64.90 88
110 Delaware AA = 58.72 6 2 0 48.15( 167) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 57.88 115 | 59.94 108 | 64.21 92
112 Elon AA = 58.33 5 2 0 53.69( 138) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 57.98 113 | 57.98 113 | 60.19 109
115 Colgate AA = 58.14 7 0 0 33.71( 232) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 57.65 119 | 57.42 118 | 61.06 105
116 Jacksonville State AA = 58.10 6 2 0 38.73( 214) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 58.25 111 | 55.98 122 | 56.37 123
119 Samford AA = 57.41 4 4 0 48.90( 161) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 57.73 118 | 54.37 132 | 54.48 130
120 Dartmouth AA = 57.40 7 0 0 38.96( 213) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 56.64 120 | 55.71 123 | 62.25 99
121 Western Illinois AA = 57.15 4 4 0 58.03( 119) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 56.06 125 | 57.77 115 | 64.58 90
123 Stony Brook AA = 56.75 6 3 0 48.00( 170) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 56.49 122 | 56.27 121 | 57.96 115
127 Wofford AA = 55.35 6 2 0 42.51( 195) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 55.18 127 | 55.52 126 | 55.90 127
129 Towson AA = 54.57 6 2 0 46.57( 176) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 53.70 134 | 54.48 131 | 60.18 110
131 Idaho State AA = 54.12 5 3 0 54.56( 135) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 53.60 135 | 53.09 134 | 57.17 121
134 North Dakota AA = 53.78 5 3 0 48.22( 165) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 53.39 136 | 53.78 133 | 55.83 129
137 South Dakota AA = 52.19 3 5 0 57.78( 121) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 52.43 137 | 52.62 135 | 49.75 143
139 Nicholls State AA = 51.96 5 3 0 47.01( 174) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 51.79 140 | 51.59 137 | 52.49 137
143 Central Arkansas AA = 50.24 5 3 0 41.77( 202) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 50.22 145 | 50.65 144 | 49.72 144
144 Southern Illinois AA = 49.85 2 6 0 53.12( 141) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 49.90 146 | 49.85 148 | 48.78 152

[THEsocalledfan]

Sagarin has NDSU as about a -36 favorite over Youngstown. Just wow.

[bisonaudit]

Princeton checks in as the number 6 FCS team. How the hell does an Ivy League school get that high in Sagarin, they've played Butler, Monmouth, Columbia, Lehigh, etc.

When you win by an average of 41 points...

[bisonaudit]

Sagarin says...
NDSU regular season record and change from prior week:
11-0 97.4% +6.3%
10-1 2.5% -6.1%
9-2 0.02% -0.2%
8-3 0.00004%

Opponent chance change line change
v. YSU 99.5% +0.7% -35.5 -4.5
@ Mo St 98.5% +1.4% -29.5 -3.5
v. S Ill 99.4% +0.0% -34.0 -0.0

[bisonaudit]

Sagarin’s take on the FCS landscape:

AT LARGE playoff bids by conference:
5 Missouri Valley
4 Big Sky
4 Colonial
1 Southern

Last 4 in:
Missouri Valley
Big Sky
Big Sky
Colonial

First 4 out:
Southland
Missouri Valley
Southern
Missouri Valley

[Bison 4 Life]

Sagarin says...
NDSU regular season record and change from prior week:
11-0 97.4% +6.3%
10-1 2.5% -6.1%
9-2 0.02% -0.2%
8-3 0.00004%

Opponent chance change line change
v. YSU 99.5% +0.7% -35.5 -4.5
@ Mo St 98.5% +1.4% -29.5 -3.5
v. S Ill 99.4% +0.0% -34.0 -0.0