FCS Playoff First Round Thread

[DIBISON]

San Diego is the real deal. Love the way they play football. This game will be a good one.

I agree, it will be a lot better game than the Big Sky would give us. NAU was terrible, glad they're not coming to Fargo.

[bulldogg]

Sh#t.

Have to change the menu for next week's tailgate.

Can anyone help me find 50 lbs. of reasonably priced whale vagina? What a week for my fish monger to be on vacation!

Whale vagina is a penguin favorite. Call Youngstown.

[EC8CH]

NAUs players looked skinny.

[MAKBison]

Sh#t.

Have to change the menu for next week's tailgate.

Can anyone help me find 50 lbs. of reasonably priced whale vagina? What a week for my fish monger to be on vacation!

I think there is some in the und smack thread

[MAKBison]

San Diego is the real deal. Love the way they play football. This game will be a good one.

when you say real deal, do you mean plays up to their potential

[bisonaudit]

Sagarin's take on the lines home team in bold:

SO AGS score err
W W 59-29 -11.0 Stony Brook -19.0 over Lehigh 92%
L.. L.. 19-21. +3.5 Western Illinois -1.5 over Weber State 55%
W W. 46-7 -18.5 Northern Iowa -20.5 over Monmouth-NJ 93%
W W. 14-0.. -7.0 New Hampshire -7.0 over Central Connecticut 70% (I can't believe UNH made the tournament AGAIN. Who do they have pictures of?)
W W 28-17 -10.0 Kennesaw State -1.0 over Samford 53%
W. L.. 38-31 +9.5 South Dakota -16.5 over Nicholls State 89% (bully for them putting in a bid but they shouldn't be in the tournament, worst at-large of the year)
W. L.. 28-27 +6.0 Furman -7.0 over Elon 69%
L L 10-41 +45.5 Northern Arizona -14.5 over San Diego 86%

Straight-up just a smidge over 6 out of 8 correct would be a good day for the projection.
6-2 SO 4-4 AGS met expectations.


San Diego over Northern Arizona was a very bad miss. ~3.5 standard deviations. All the other games were inside of 1 standard deviation. Not as bad a miss as 5 dimes’ 54.5 though. If you’d have taken Sagarin’s numbers to the window his worst prediction would have made you the most money.

3 road dogs and one home game inside the advantage. Stupid bids.
Road dogs 2-1. Both wins inside the number.

[Christopher Moen]

Sagarin's take on the lines home team in bold:

SO AGS score err
W W 59-29 -11.0 Stony Brook -19.0 over Lehigh 92%
L.. L.. 19-21. +3.5 Western Illinois -1.5 over Weber State 55%
W W. 46-7 -18.5 Northern Iowa -20.5 over Monmouth-NJ 93%
W W. 14-0.. -7.0 New Hampshire -7.0 over Central Connecticut 70% (I can't believe UNH made the tournament AGAIN. Who do they have pictures of?)
W W 28-17 -10.0 Kennesaw State -1.0 over Samford 53%
W. L.. 38-31 +9.5 South Dakota -16.5 over Nicholls State 89% (bully for them putting in a bid but they shouldn't be in the tournament, worst at-large of the year)
W. L.. 28-27 +6.0 Furman -7.0 over Elon 69%
L L 10-41 +45.5 Northern Arizona -14.5 over San Diego 86%

Straight-up just a smidge over 6 out of 8 correct would be a good day for the projection.
6-2 SO 4-4 AGS met expectations.


San Diego over Northern Arizona was a very bad miss. ~3.5 standard deviations. All the other games were inside of 1 standard deviation.

3 road dogs and one home game inside the advantage. Stupid bids.
Road dogs 2-1. Both wins inside the number.

I used Massey Ratings to help figure out my bracket. I went against Massey prediction twice I think and still ended up 6-2. The WIU really messed me up and I listened to too much "experts" claiming San Diego wasn't the same team as last year.

Note to self, FCS experts suck.

[HerdBot]

when you say real deal, do you mean plays up to their potential

I think they play a winning physical style of football and have solid athletes. Reminds me of ourselves except even more playaction and less shotgun. They even ran a fullback on a wheel route and they forgot to cover him

[DIBISON]

I think they play a winning physical style of football and have solid athletes. Reminds me of ourselves except even more playaction and less shotgun. They even ran a fullback on a wheel route and they forgot to cover him

West Coast Offense, not sure about their D.

[StL Bison Fan]

From FCS twittter:

#FCSPlayoffs first-round attendance:
Nicholls - 9,612
Weber State - 6,876
Kennesaw State - 5,566
Stony Brook - 4,131
UNI - 4,095
Northern Arizona - 4,068
Elon - 2,934
New Hampshire - 2,385
#BayClassic2017 attendance: announced at 66,550