2017 Sagarin Says

[thebootfitter]

Looks like we climbed from #43 to #41 in Sagarin's ratings, even after dropping a little by the rating value. (Can't remember exactly what we were, but I'm pretty sure it was above 76. Now at 75.91.)

JMU keeps climbing. They are at #54 now with a rating of 72.61.

Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk

[bisonaudit]

76.13 last week. Down just 0.22.

[Hammersmith]

Sagarin's 2017 Week 9 Prediction

Rank    Team                   Sagarin Predict  Result   Diff						
 41	North Dakota State  	75.91				
253	Miss. Valley State  	 8.75	+69.34	+65.00	 -4.34	
131	Eastern Washington  	54.52	+21.39	+27.00	 +5.61	
	Bye					
229	Robert Morris       	26.88	+51.21	+56.00	 +4.79	
197	Missouri State      	38.12	+39.97	+27.00	-12.97	
206	Indiana State       	35.90	+37.83	+52.00	+14.17	
 75	Youngstown State    	66.82	 +6.91	 +3.00	 -3.91	
 81	Western Illinois    	66.07	+12.02	+12.00	 -0.02	
 89	Northern Iowa       	63.93	+14.16			
 85	South Dakota State  	64.59	 +9.14			
 76	South Dakota        	66.82	+11.27			
115	Illinois State      	57.74	+15.99			
						
110	Southern Illinois   	58.21				
						
					Total Diff:	 +3.33
		Home Field	 2.18

Sagarin FCS Top-25

Rank  SagRank  RATING   Team                    Conference						
1	 41	75.91	North Dakota State  	Missouri Valley		
2	 54	72.61	James Madison       	Colonial		
3	 75	66.82	Youngstown State    	Missouri Valley		
4	 76	66.82	South Dakota        	Missouri Valley		
5	 81	66.07	Western Illinois    	Missouri Valley		
6	 85	64.59	South Dakota State  	Missouri Valley		
7	 89	63.93	Northern Iowa       	Missouri Valley		
8	100	60.81	Jacksonville State  	Ohio Valley		
9	103	59.27	Northern Arizona    	Big Sky		
10	110	58.21	Southern Illinois   	Missouri Valley		
11	112	57.80	Central Arkansas    	Southland		
12	113	57.79	Weber State         	Big Sky		
13	115	57.74	Illinois State      	Missouri Valley		
14	116	57.70	Villanova           	Colonial		
15	117	57.67	Samford             	Southern		
16	120	56.91	Sam Houston State   	Southland		
17	122	56.30	Wofford             	Southern		
18	126	55.48	Delaware            	Colonial		
19	128	55.13	Furman              	Southern		
20	129	54.83	Southern Utah       	Big Sky		
21	131	54.52	Eastern Washington  	Big Sky		
22	132	53.78	Princeton           	Ivy League		
23	133	53.76	Mercer              	Southern		
24	134	53.56	Richmond            	Colonial		
25	135	53.55	Stony Brook         	Colonial

Sagarin Conference Ranking

Rank    Conference             CntMean NDSU						
1	BIG 12              	78.96	9
2	ACC                 	78.32	9
3	PAC-12              	77.26	8
4	BIG TEN             	77.22	8
5	SEC                 	76.48	8
6	AMERICAN ATHLETIC   	66.93	3
7	I-A INDEPENDENTS    	65.54	2
8	MWC                 	63.53	1
9	MISSOURI VALLEY     	61.17	1
10	MAC                 	59.98	1
11	CONFERENCE USA      	56.06	1
12	SUN BELT            	54.03	1
13	COLONIAL            	49.89	1
14	SOUTHERN            	49.51	1
15	BIG SKY             	48.99	1
16	OHIO VALLEY         	42.53	1
17	BIG SOUTH           	41.92	1
18	IVY LEAGUE          	39.80	1
19	SOUTHLAND           	39.27	1
20	NORTHEAST           	34.19	1
21	PATRIOT             	33.08	1
22	MID-EASTERN         	30.09	1
23	SWAC                	25.16	1
24	PIONEER             	20.45	1

[Bisonator98]

Question for people who understand this, why is JMU climbing while playing lesser opponents then NDSU right now? Is it because of the margin of victory?

[THEsocalledfan]

Question for people who understand this, why is JMU climbing while playing lesser opponents then NDSU right now? Is it because of the margin of victory?

Yes, and if teams you beat in past do well, it also helps.

[bisonaudit]

Yes, and if teams you beat in past do well, it also helps.

If the teams you lost to do well that also helps.

They beat William and Mary by 32 on the road. I don’t know what their rating was last week but JMU was 70 and W&M is still at like 44 or something now, so JMU certainly won this week by significantly more than the Sagarin model expected, perhaps two touchdowns more.

[Mr Pep Band]

Sagarin's 2017 Week 9 Prediction

Rank    Team                   Sagarin Predict  Result   Diff						
 41	North Dakota State  	75.91				
253	Miss. Valley State  	 8.75	+69.34	+65.00	 -4.34	
131	Eastern Washington  	54.52	+21.39	+27.00	 +5.61	
	Bye					
229	Robert Morris       	26.88	+51.21	+56.00	 +4.79	
197	Missouri State      	38.12	+39.97	+27.00	-12.97	
206	Indiana State       	35.90	+37.83	+52.00	+14.17	
 75	Youngstown State    	66.82	 +6.91	 +3.00	 -3.91	
 81	Western Illinois    	66.07	+12.02	+12.00	 -0.02	
 89	Northern Iowa       	63.93	+14.16			
 85	South Dakota State  	64.59	 +9.14			
 76	South Dakota        	66.82	+11.27			
115	Illinois State      	57.74	+15.99			
						
110	Southern Illinois   	58.21				
						
					Total Diff:	 +3.33
		Home Field	 2.18

Sagarin FCS Top-25

Rank  SagRank  RATING   Team                    Conference						
1	 41	75.91	North Dakota State  	Missouri Valley		
2	 54	72.61	James Madison       	Colonial		
3	 75	66.82	Youngstown State    	Missouri Valley		
4	 76	66.82	South Dakota        	Missouri Valley		
5	 81	66.07	Western Illinois    	Missouri Valley		
6	 85	64.59	South Dakota State  	Missouri Valley		
7	 89	63.93	Northern Iowa       	Missouri Valley		
8	100	60.81	Jacksonville State  	Ohio Valley		
9	103	59.27	Northern Arizona    	Big Sky		
10	110	58.21	Southern Illinois   	Missouri Valley		
11	112	57.80	Central Arkansas    	Southland		
12	113	57.79	Weber State         	Big Sky		
13	115	57.74	Illinois State      	Missouri Valley		
14	116	57.70	Villanova           	Colonial		
15	117	57.67	Samford             	Southern		
16	120	56.91	Sam Houston State   	Southland		
17	122	56.30	Wofford             	Southern		
18	126	55.48	Delaware            	Colonial		
19	128	55.13	Furman              	Southern		
20	129	54.83	Southern Utah       	Big Sky		
21	131	54.52	Eastern Washington  	Big Sky		
22	132	53.78	Princeton           	Ivy League		
23	133	53.76	Mercer              	Southern		
24	134	53.56	Richmond            	Colonial		
25	135	53.55	Stony Brook         	Colonial

Sagarin Conference Ranking

Rank    Conference             CntMean NDSU						
1	BIG 12              	78.96	9
2	ACC                 	78.32	9
3	PAC-12              	77.26	8
4	BIG TEN             	77.22	8
5	SEC                 	76.48	8
6	AMERICAN ATHLETIC   	66.93	3
7	I-A INDEPENDENTS    	65.54	2
8	MWC                 	63.53	1
9	MISSOURI VALLEY     	61.17	1
10	MAC                 	59.98	1
11	CONFERENCE USA      	56.06	1
12	SUN BELT            	54.03	1
13	COLONIAL            	49.89	1
14	SOUTHERN            	49.51	1
15	BIG SKY             	48.99	1
16	OHIO VALLEY         	42.53	1
17	BIG SOUTH           	41.92	1
18	IVY LEAGUE          	39.80	1
19	SOUTHLAND           	39.27	1
20	NORTHEAST           	34.19	1
21	PATRIOT             	33.08	1
22	MID-EASTERN         	30.09	1
23	SWAC                	25.16	1
24	PIONEER             	20.45	1

If i am reading this right, NDSU is the 4th best team outside the P5 conferences. The only FBS teams better than us are

Notre Dame (Independent) 6-1
U of Central Florida (American) 6-0
U of Southern Florida (American) 7-0




We should totally go FBS now!! (so much purple)

[tony]

If i am reading this right, NDSU is the 4th best team outside the P5 conferences. The only FBS teams better than us are

Notre Dame (Independent) 6-1
U of Central Florida (American) 6-0
U of Southern Florida (American) 7-0




We should totally go FBS now!! (so much purple)

Which is pretty amazing considering that this year's team has a ways to go to show that it's one the four best teams NDSU has had since 2010.

[THEsocalledfan]

Audit, you had a chance to run the numbers for final record yet?

[Professor Chaos]

Audit, you had a chance to run the numbers for final record yet?

He had it up Sunday morning: http://www.bisonville.com/forum/show...76#post1231876