You know, I pretty much got lampooned on AGS for saying the same thing. USD will be better than expected and SDSU will not live up to expectations. In the end the two schools will be very close to each other record wise and in the standings. I'm thinking SDSU will end up with 3 losses and USD with 4, but those numbers could flip based on injuries and other factors such as plain luck.
This conference is so competitive and the games are so tight that the difference between 3-5 and 5-3 in conference is not as great as many people think. You get a few breaks your way and your team can end up 5-3 and playoff bound.