Massey 2015 Predictions

[NovaBison]

It's the off-season... not much out there... but I checked Massey for fun tonight, and he has his 2015 season "model" out. Slipping a bit versus FBS (#47 vs 28 last year, but that was based on the 2013 team). Still #1 in FCS... in fact positions 1-4 are occupied by the MVFC, and MVFC has 6 in top 10.

http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.ph...2015&sub=11605

It's not a perfect model, but its interesting to look at.

LOL Massey gives UND 0% chance of winning on 9/19

[MNLonghorn10]

0%...better than I thought itd be.

[Mr Meaty]

This is really not a big surprise. MVFC is toughest around.

[gumby013]

0%...better than I thought itd be.

In a 7 game series, Massey gave them 8 total points. Way too many.

North Dakota 0 N Dakota St 35 (0-1-0)
North Dakota 3 N Dakota St 40 (0-2-0)
North Dakota 2 N Dakota St 23 (0-3-0)
North Dakota 0 N Dakota St 45 (0-4-0)
North Dakota 0 N Dakota St 28 (0-5-0)
North Dakota 3 N Dakota St 38 (0-6-0)
North Dakota 0 N Dakota St 45 (0-7-0)

[gumby013]

	    North Dakota	    N Dakota St
Actual Score	  0	                   0
Most Likely	  3	                  38
Median	          3	                  39
Mean	         4.07	                40.12
Win Probability	  1%	                100%

[Bisonwinagn]

How about Montana?

[gumby013]

	             Montana	N Dakota St
Actual Score	        0	   0
Most Likely	        14	   31
Median	                13	   31
Mean	                14.26	   31.38
Win Probability	        13%	   87%

Montana 22 N Dakota St 29 (0-1-0)
Montana 13 N Dakota St 20 (0-2-0)
Montana 2 N Dakota St 27 (0-3-0)
Montana 6 N Dakota St 43 (0-4-0)
Montana 7 N Dakota St 24 (0-5-0)
Montana 10 N Dakota St 17 (0-6-0)
Montana 13 N Dakota St 36 (0-7-0)

[gumby013]

One more to watch.

	     Iowa	Illinois St
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	33	27
Median	        32	27
Mean	        33.15	27.42
Win Probability	64%	36%

Iowa 10 Illinois St 7 (1-0-0)
Iowa 33 Illinois St 17 (2-0-0)
Iowa 20 Illinois St 48 (2-1-0)
Iowa 14 Illinois St 17 (2-2-0)
Iowa 24 Illinois St 10 (3-2-0)
Iowa 23 Illinois St 20 (4-2-0)
Iowa 21 Illinois St 55 (4-3-0)

[td577]

One more to watch.

	     Iowa	Illinois St
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	33	27
Median	        32	27
Mean	        33.15	27.42
Win Probability	64%	36%

Iowa 10 Illinois St 7 (1-0-0)
Iowa 33 Illinois St 17 (2-0-0)
Iowa 20 Illinois St 48 (2-1-0)
Iowa 14 Illinois St 17 (2-2-0)
Iowa 24 Illinois St 10 (3-2-0)
Iowa 23 Illinois St 20 (4-2-0)
Iowa 21 Illinois St 55 (4-3-0)

I see ISUr taking 3-4 games to get going with so many changes to their roster. I think they are a top 5 FCS school, just not right away. They still have to make it through the next couple of months without anyone else getting the boot from their program, as well.

[stevdock]

I find it very interesting that USD has a better chance of beating us than UND does, especially considering USD's scored about 3 TD's in the last 12 years or so against us. I guess UND has scored at all against us during that time so maybe it does make sense.