Disagree. A conference that fears being raided in the future could invite a group to be the "Great Plains" division to have inventory.
Or, the NCAA could realize western CFB may soon be the MWC+2 and the BSC*. They could allow a rogue group to form a new G5 conference to fill the "entry level" FBS void in the west (without formal invite to FBS, ala Liberty). But this is the NCAA we're expecting to make sense, so don't hold your breath. And there's money involved and potentially more folks wanting a cut.
*Not that long ago it was PAC, MWC, WAC, BSC.
If the PAC4 was shifty they'd quietly (no tampering, wink) let the part of the MWC they'd associate with know they'd be accepted. If it were six or more of the MWC, the by-laws only require majority vote to (a) remove exit fees, and (b) dissolve the conference. So say USAFA, SDSU, CSU, SDSU, UNR, Hawaii, got a quiet wink: They could remove the exit fee, dissolve, take their fraction of the remains, ... and Boise*, UNLV**, Wyo, UNM would be screwed.
But that PAC4+6, would they get better than a $10M share media deal? Even if they invited Gonzaga? That won't feed the CaliStan beasts.
*I don't see CaliStan ever tied to Boise State.
**Maybe included to appease UNR.
It'd be a PAC2. No way would CaliStan stay for that (or any FCS call-ups).
The PAC right now:
- four teams that are about as disparate in the conference as could be: CaliStan and the xSUs.
- no media deal to offer to potential new members
- $50M in debt to Comcast (because of billing mistake)
- $24.2M in assets (per 2021 IRS Form 990)
- whatever NCAAT credits they have
That really doesn't look like a nice landing spot.