KSU fan here: Two weeks out what are the chances NDSU beats K-State?

[ndsubison1]

First, let me say I am totally impressed with your fan support, your team success, tradition, your facility, and quality of players you will field. I have been a KSU fan for 41 years that I have lived in Manhattan. I really cannot recall a non conf opponent whose fans were as pumped or confident as the Bison group. Obviously each group of fans is very loyal and the expectations are high as the season opens. So...what is the likelihood of NDSU winning the game. Put your answer in a percentage form. I give the Bison a 20% chance. That means nothing but it's my answer. I think many KSU fans would pick a smaller number than that. I think if you asked Bill Snyder he would say something like "If K-State isn't focused and gives their best effort it might be 100% chance of NDSU winning". That is the way he thinks and coaches. So, try and be objective and give your best guess.

By the way, the new stadium is almost done. Doing landscaping and some finish work. Will def be ready for the game. Stopped and looked at it tonight. It's going to be a great setting for the game with both fan bases very pumped. How many Bison fans do you think found tickets? Thanks

40% chance Bison win

[ndsubison1]

I give the Bison about a 20% chance of winning, but I am like CA, I just want a good game.

However, if K State scores easily and fast on their first possession of the game, like CSU did last year and Minnesota did in '07 and '11, then I will raise my probability to about 65%. When FBS teams score easily against an FCS team, they tend to relax and think that this will be much easier than they thought, and that is when the stampede will begin. Slowly at first, then a trot, and finally the herd will bury what's in front of them.

So, I hope one of your kick specialists runs back the opening kickoff. Game, set, match.

this will probably happen. ksu scores on first series. the team and fans think this will be a blowout. might have a little trouble the first quarter but as the game wears on I expect our D to settle down, make some nice adjustments, and execute well

[Hammerhead]

I know K-State > Colorado State, but that's what happened last year although it didn't take long for the D to get it together and even score a safety to give NDSU a 16-7 lead in the 1st quarter.

this will probably happen. ksu scores on first series. the team and fans think this will be a blowout. might have a little trouble the first quarter but as the game wears on I expect our D to settle down, make some nice adjustments, and execute well

[gotts]

5-2 Bison win with a three spot in the 4th.

[DePereBisonFan]

8% chance the Bison win. We won't have the time of possession advantage of previous FBS games. Jensen will probably throw a pick 6. Our defense and running game will keep us in it through early 3rd quarter. We lose 31-13 by allowing the last 17 points in the late third and fourth quarters.

Since you were recently at the stadium, are the northeast hill seats somewhat decent, or are we not going to be able to see the field at all?

[Bisonator98]

36.758603487488887459% chance of a Bison win according to all of the research, analysis, polls, simulators, rankings, injury reports, graduating players, returning players, suspended players, new recruits, old coaches, new coaches, new stadium addition, ticket sales, ticket prices, tailgating, lakesbison, sam, etc. etc. etc.

[bisonsupporter]

Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers. Brock turns the ball over, 80% K-state wins by 3 scores. Bison force turnovers 60% chance Bison win by under 10.

[OnagaCat]

8% chance the Bison win. We won't have the time of possession advantage of previous FBS games. Jensen will probably throw a pick 6. Our defense and running game will keep us in it through early 3rd quarter. We lose 31-13 by allowing the last 17 points in the late third and fourth quarters.

Since you were recently at the stadium, are the northeast hill seats somewhat decent, or are we not going to be able to see the field at all?

I've never sat over there of course but I think if you are high enough you will see OK.

[Civil06]

My prediction is KSU's message board will look something like this after the game...

[SafeTeeJ]

33.333% chance Bison win. Any have thoughts on the outcome if its raining, windy? Does either team have the advantage then?