There was a chance.
Got time on my hands waiting for the weather delay in Wyoming. Here is the FCS top-25 and the top 6 conferences. Sagarin still loves the MVFC.
Sagarin FCS Top-25
Sagarin FCS Top-6 ConferencesCode:1 46 North Dakota State 2 76 South Dakota State 3 83 Eastern Washington 4 84 New Hampshire 5 86 Northern Iowa 6 96 Jacksonville State 7 97 Villanova 8 98 Youngstown State 9 100 Chattanooga 10 103 Montana 11 106 SE Louisiana 12 109 Southern Illinois 13 115 Richmond 14 118 Eastern Illinois 15 122 Montana State 16 124 William & Mary 17 125 Sam Houston State 18 126 McNeese State 19 127 Illinois State 20 129 Cal Poly 21 131 Towson 22 134 Coastal Carolina 23 135 Tennessee State 24 136 Missouri State 25 137 Princeton
Code:1. Missouri Valley* 2. Colonial 3. Big Sky 4. Ohio Valley 5. Southland 6. Southern *ahead of C-USA & Sunbelt; barely behind MAC