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Not a huge surprise, but still noteworthy: 4 of the top 10 are Missouri Valley teams. 8 of the top 20.

I'm pretty sure that will be similar to our game with them. Though maybe only the last 14 points instead of 24.

Looks like you were right to take the under. In fact, I think our rating dropped slightly. With as few games as were played this week and us beating the prediction by so much, I didn't think that was...

Just noticed that we're #15 based on Sagarin's "Recent" rating. Before the SDSU game. Playoff mode, baby! That's kind of cool.

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This far into the season, I guess the swings do tend to be a little muted even with a big win. But I'm eager to see it anyway.

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I'm guessing the results would be similar to the SDSU game if we played K-State this week instead.

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Any guesses on how many rating points (Not places) we move up? And how much SDSU moves down?

I'm guessing we'll move up as much as 1.5 to 2 points, which if all other teams stay the same would put...

That bottom quarter in itself looks fairly balanced, though. Just unlikely for any of those teams to reach the championship game. And definitely not a good way to set up a "proper" tournament,...

Exactly! Though if you took NDSU out of the equation entirely, those other percentages would also change. Of course, you'd have to put something in place of NDSU for calculating. Maybe just take...

Well, to be fair... when one of those teams is NDSU, nothing is fair and balanced. :p

Thanks! I've been waiting for this post! :-)

Yeah, that's what I thought too. He's not a "pollster"!

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I don't think that's factually true. I thought the year after we played Iowa we started out with a few votes until we lost to SDSU? Or am I getting wires crossed somewhere?

Several years ago, I was recording both Sagarin and Massey for all of Div I each week and comparing the predicted W/L against the actual outcomes. Both Sagarin and Massey fell generally in the...

Nope. In the RECENT predictor column, NDSU is 18. Wisconsin is 38.

RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT...

Wow, in Massey's ratings, we're at #26. JMU is second FCS team at #70. SDSU is close behind at #75.

Beating a high ranked FBS team would only help if they were rated higher than us and we beat them by more than the model predicted. But there are other ways to move up: Beat anybody on the schedule...

I like that Cal Poly now shows a loss to a top 30 school. :)