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Nice article by Kolpack that features Mr. Sagarin himself: https://www.inforum.com/sports/919828-Kolpack-USA-Today-pollster-Sagarin-has-Bison-ranked-ahead-of-Wisconsin

In games like this where there are two traditional strong teams and one is favored by a lot, expect the the unexpected. I feel NDSU doesn't win by more than 20, unless the Penguins get chippy.

Being the more responsible adult was a better, bigger FU in my opinion. Scoring at the end would have made NDSU look like they took Spack’s weird gamesmanship too serious and somewhat butt-hurt. ...

I don't think Sagarin has much to judge these guys by, and plus, it's really difficult to judge the team from it previous seasons since so many of their players are transfers...