Sagarin already updated. Up to 20.
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Sagarin already updated. Up to 20.
And SDSU moved up from 58 to 53.
Playoff picture:
Sagarin (Seed) Team............. Semi... Final
81.63 (1) North Dakota State 80.8% 68.7%
72.68 (5) South Dakota State 19.2% 12.3%
69.74 (3) Eastern Washington 89.2% 18.6%
53.80 (7) Maine................... 10.8%.. 0.4%
Sagarin is 15 of 20 so far. Probablisticly would have expected 16.1 at this point.
I guess when you're favored 2:1 against the field, it's hard to move the needle. Despite drubbing Mont. St. and Colgate, with four teams left we are favored <3% more against a field of 3 than we were against a field of 23. Of course SDSU or EWU getting knocked off would have changed that.
The problems are two fold. SDSU seeded 5 instead of the 2 they deserved. Maine deserved an away game over Thanksgiving not a bye and a home game the next week #buttautobid.