Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
MAKBison
No just curious if it came down to u choosing between two pies which would u want most?
I know u won't change your mind and u think football is growing so what's the point....I have yet to see anyone sway you from an opinion. U provided evidence its growing I think at best its a spurious relationship and provided data to suggest why. Not much more I can do
I think you're correct on this one. The mild growth in college teams is being driven by the dream of big money. But the data from youth program participation, and the big drop in attendance at the college and pro levels suggests the growth in college teams is a bubble that will be popped in a few years.
High school participation dropped around 6% from 2010 until 2018. It's possible the total number of HS teams went up, but only because the creation of 6- and 8-man teams slightly outpaced the decline of 11-man teams(down 147 teams over 9 years).
And youth football participation is way down as well, with some areas seeing a 40% decline or more. One source showed a participation decline in age 7+ tackle football from 8.4M in 2006 to 5.22M in 2017. Another source stated a combined 8.2% of kids 6-12 played tackle or flag football in 2008. That percentage dropped to 6.2% in 2017.
If football in the US dies, it won't start at the college or pro levels; those will be the last to go. It will start dying at the youth level and work its way up over a decade. Data suggests the process has already begun.
My gut says we're seeing a nova effect. In the last years of most stars' lives, they exhaust their supply of hydrogen and helium and begin to swell up many times their normal size as they as they work their way up the periodic table and start using higher element fuels. The growth doesn't mean they're healthy, it means they're dying. After many years of swelling, they exhaust those higher element fuels and shrink to a fraction of their original size and energy. We might be currently seeing the tail-end of football's nova phase.
(FYI, our sun's nova phase will likely cause it to grow enough that its surface will extend past Earth's orbit. Poof.)
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
So if I understand you correctly, football is causing global warming?
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
2018 Bison roll UCF. Run them right off the field in the 4th quarter. Klieman could pick the score but he takes a knee with first and goal because he's a dang nice guy.
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Hammersmith
I think you're correct on this one. The mild growth in college teams is being driven by the dream of big money. But the data from youth program participation, and the big drop in attendance at the college and pro levels suggests the growth in college teams is a bubble that will be popped in a few years.
High school participation dropped around 6% from 2010 until 2018. It's possible the total number of HS teams went up, but only because the creation of 6- and 8-man teams slightly outpaced the decline of 11-man teams(down 147 teams over 9 years).
And youth football participation is way down as well, with some areas seeing a 40% decline or more. One source showed a participation decline in age 7+ tackle football from 8.4M in 2006 to 5.22M in 2017. Another source stated a combined 8.2% of kids 6-12 played tackle or flag football in 2008. That percentage dropped to 6.2% in 2017.
If football in the US dies, it won't start at the college or pro levels; those will be the last to go. It will start dying at the youth level and work its way up over a decade. Data suggests the process has already begun.
My gut says we're seeing a nova effect. In the last years of most stars' lives, they exhaust their supply of hydrogen and helium and begin to swell up many times their normal size as they as they work their way up the periodic table and start using higher element fuels. The growth doesn't mean they're healthy, it means they're dying. After many years of swelling, they exhaust those higher element fuels and shrink to a fraction of their original size and energy. We might be currently seeing the tail-end of football's nova phase.
(FYI, our sun's nova phase will likely cause it to grow enough that its surface will extend past Earth's orbit. Poof.)
Yes, it is dying from the bottom up...some say a dramatic impact will be felt in 10 years some say it will be gone as we know it in 30 years. Which to bring this back so we are somewhat back on topic means ratings are going to be impacted. When ratings are significantly and consistently impacted, it will be a catalyst for change. NDSU is going to have to position itself so that it keeps climbing the ladder or it will certainly die.
Again, my main point is such....If the FBS ever figures out a true playoff. One that mimics the FCS. NDSU better do all it can to jump, cuz if it does not, it will most certainly die.
IMO the playoff is the key!!!!! At the end of the day, I think the fans want a real playoff, and maybe that causes the G5 who have no chance to move back to FCS. which would have the same life-saving impact (generate interest and drive advertising)
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
MAKBison
Yes, it is dying from the bottom up...some say a dramatic impact will be felt in 10 years some say it will be gone as we know it in 30 years. Which to bring this back so we are somewhat back on topic means ratings are going to be impacted. When ratings are significantly and consistently impacted, it will be a catalyst for change. NDSU is going to have to position itself so that it keeps climbing the ladder or it will certainly die.
Again, my main point is such....If the FBS ever figures out a true playoff. One that mimics the FCS. NDSU better do all it can to jump, cuz if it does not, it will most certainly die.
IMO the playoff is the key!!!!! At the end of the day, I think the fans want a real playoff, and maybe that causes the G5 who have no chance to move back to FCS. which would have the same life-saving impact (generate interest and drive advertising)
So to save football from dying off from the bottom there needs to be a playoff????? Thats the magic wand????
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Hammersmith
I think you're correct on this one. The mild growth in college teams is being driven by the dream of big money. But the data from youth program participation, and the big drop in attendance at the college and pro levels suggests the growth in college teams is a bubble that will be popped in a few years.
pro football is often unwatchable and ethically dubious. Many college teams have jacked up ticket prices to the point that students and young fans cant afford to go, over a period where economics prospects for the yound have whithered.
Quote:
High school participation dropped around 6% from 2010 until 2018. It's possible the total number of HS teams went up, but only because the creation of 6- and 8-man teams slightly outpaced the decline of 11-man teams(down 147 teams over 9 years).
the number of high school students has also fallen slightly since the peak millenial wave from 2004-2010 or so. The primary driver of the decline in participation is more likely economics. https://www.forbes.com/sites/bobcook.../#401f0a962e4c
Quote:
And youth football participation is way down as well, with some areas seeing a 40% decline or more. One source showed a participation decline in age 7+ tackle football from 8.4M in 2006 to 5.22M in 2017. Another source stated a combined 8.2% of kids 6-12 played tackle or flag football in 2008. That percentage dropped to 6.2% in 2017.
again, its the economics. Participation in virtually all sports is down, not just football.
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Wow, and I came to this thread to read about ratings. Many things are going to die out unless something changes with the way parents are raising their kids, let alone all the garbage taught in public schools. Yep and all the oil was going to be gone before the year 2000 according to the experts back in 1977. Now it's global warming and high schools kids won't be playing football. The only reason football dies is all the illegal immigrant Mexicans keep flooding over the border and they take over and make boring soccer most important in the USA.
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SDbison
Wow, and I came to this thread to read about ratings. Many things are going to die out unless something changes with the way parents are raising their kids, let alone all the garbage taught in public schools. Yep and all the oil was going to be gone before the year 2000 according to the experts back in 1977. Now it's global warming and high schools kids won't be playing football. The only reason football dies is all the illegal immigrant Mexicans keep flooding over the border and they take over and make boring soccer most important in the USA.
I don't know what you mean by this but I get sick and tired of hearing this broad swipe at public education. Come take my class. My kids have to work and they will know the subject material by the time they are done with me. Thread drift again ;)
Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
stevdock
I don't know what you mean by this but I get sick and tired of hearing this broad swipe at public education. Come take my class. My kids have to work and they will know the subject material by the time they are done with me. Thread drift again ;)
What grade and subject?
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Re: NDSU Football TV Ratings
Quote:
Originally Posted by
56BISON73
So to save football from dying off from the bottom there needs to be a playoff????? Thats the magic wand????
I think it would help yes......as u have pointed out many times, the g5 have nothing to play for but our bowls Is it the end all be all....nope. But the fanbase wants it.
But your really not addressing my main point r u. To refresh it was if the g5 ever figures out a real fcs like playoff, ndsu better figure out how to move up cuz if they don't su FB will suck