When they played EWU the announcers stated that the games count as conference games for uN_ opponents, uN_ needs an at-large bid to get into the playoffs.
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They are basically a Big Sky team without an auto-bid opportunity, but they would get in/not get in based on how they performed in and out of conference, which is ~66% Big Sky results. Kind of like being a Big Sky team, especially in uN_'s case since they aren't putting up a record good enough to win the Big Sky.
The autobid doesn’t have any value in the power conferences anyway so it’s a moot point. The top team from Big Sky, MVFC, CAA are going to the playoffs regardless of an automatic qualifier. At 24 teams you have to be pretty inept at winning to get left out.
The question surrounds advocacy at the playoff committee level and whether UND will get any from its old conf (Big Fluff), or it’s new conf (MVFC).
If they are good enough they will get in, if they aren’t, they won’t
over the past TWO years you cant shade UN- on their schedule, They beat UC Davis as handily as the Bison did and they play a pretty solid schedule going forward. I dont wish them any luck but if they can beat UC Davis they have a chance beating anybody else on a solid remaining schedule. Remember, we are all DII when it comes down to it.
When UND has a good record this year and doesn't get voted in, they finally come to this self realization:
https://media1.giphy.com/media/MmFVEhDzF0UUw/source.gif